Doomscrolling alert: The Atlantic current may be headed for collapse
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This episode of USA Today's The Excerpt explores alarming new research indicating that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a critical ocean current system responsible for regulating global climate, may be weakening at an unprecedented rate. Physical oceanographer Shane Eleppo, lead author of a study published in Science Advances, explains how decades of continuous ocean monitoring—through instruments deployed across the North Atlantic—have revealed a 10% decline in AMOC strength over the past 20 years. This weakening, driven by climate change and reduced water density due to warming and freshwater influx from melting ice, could lead to a collapse within the next 140 years, with potentially catastrophic consequences including harsher winters in Europe, rising sea levels along the U.S. East Coast, and disrupted rainfall patterns affecting food production in Africa. The episode underscores the urgency of global climate action, emphasizing that current mitigation and adaptation strategies—such as reducing CO2 emissions and building coastal resilience—are essential but insufficiently prioritized. The discussion also highlights the interconnectedness of Earth's climate systems, using historical data to show how past AMOC weakening correlated with extreme weather events like the harsh 2010 European winter. While no immediate collapse is expected, the trajectory suggests a growing risk that demands immediate policy and societal response. The episode concludes with a call to action, urging governments and individuals to accelerate the transition to clean energy and strengthen climate resilience. A brief sponsor segment promotes the Top Workplaces USA 2026 list, highlighting companies excelling in workplace culture and employee satisfaction.
The AMOC has weakened by 10% over the past 20 years, with data showing a statistically significant decline beyond natural variability.
A full collapse of the AMOC could occur within 140 years if current trends continue, potentially reducing its strength by 80%.
Weakening AMOC could lead to harsher winters in Europe, significantly higher sea levels along the U.S. East Coast, and disrupted rainfall patterns affecting global food systems.
Climate change—specifically warming oceans and freshwater influx from melting ice—is the primary driver of AMOC weakening.
Immediate global action to reduce CO2 emissions and invest in coastal resilience is critical to mitigate long-term risks.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at Risk
“A large-scale and delicate system of ocean currents that's been active for millions of years, and that's responsible for a warm climate is in danger of collapse.”
How the AMOC Works and Why It Matters
Shane Eleppo explains the mechanics of the AMOC as a 'conveyor belt' of ocean currents that transports heat from the tropics to the North Atlantic, influencing climate patterns across Europe and North America.
Data from 20 Years of Ocean Monitoring
“We've noticed what we've been able to measure is that on average, the strength of that circulation has decreased by 10% over 20 years.”
The Path to Collapse and Global Consequences
“It is expected that the belt of rain that we find around the equator might be displaced southward and it would have some impact on food production in Africa.”
What Can Be Done? A Call to Action
Eleppo emphasizes that while the science is clear, societal and political action is lagging. He calls for urgent reductions in CO2 emissions, a transition to clean energy, and stronger coastal resilience planning.
“A large-scale and delicate system of ocean currents that's been active for millions of years, and that's responsible for a warm climate is in danger of collapse.”
“It is expected that the belt of rain that we find around the equator might be displaced southward and it would have some impact on food production in Africa.”
“We've noticed what we've been able to measure is that on average, the strength of that circulation has decreased by 10% over 20 years.”
Host
Guest
Shane Eleppo
person
Dana Taylor
person
Europe
other
United States
place
USA Today
media
University of Miami
organization
Top Workplaces USA 2026
other
National Oceanographic Center
organization
NOAA
organization
Science Advances
other
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