PPP 770 – Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers To Add And Drop – 4-14-26
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Garrett Crochet's disastrous debut — 1.2 innings, 10 earned runs, 11 hits, 3 walks, 0 strikeouts — is dissected not as a sign of injury or tipping, but as a catastrophic confluence of bad luck, poor command, and a rare off-day. Nick Pollack argues against overreacting, citing Paul Skenes' similar early collapse and Luis Severino's bounce-back after a rough start. He emphasizes that elite pitchers like Crochet often have such outliers, and the key is not to panic. Instead, he advocates for strategic roster management: benching Crochet only if his next start is delayed, while adding pitchers like Ryan Nelson and Will Warren who showed flashes of elite stuff despite short outings. Pollack also warns against overvaluing one good start from pitchers like Justin Robleski or Bailey Ober, stressing that consistency and pitch mix matter more than a single game’s outcome. The episode culminates in a sharp analysis of rookie prospects, with a firm 'pilot rule' advising against starting Noah Schultz in his MLB debut due to the historical trend of poor initial performances — a bold stance that underscores the importance of patience over hype.
Garrett Crochet's 10-run debut was likely a bad day, not injury or tipping — trust the process and don’t panic.
Bench Crochet only if he’s not starting in five days — otherwise, start him again and manage risk with trades.
Ryan Nelson is a top-tier starter despite imperfections — his four-seamer and evolving secondary mix make him a must-start.
Will Warren’s 3.2 perfect innings were impressive, but his early exit due to an error is a red flag — start him only if he shows repeatable stuff.
Justin Robleski’s 8-inning gem was fluky — 22 outs in play, low velocity, and a weak pitch mix mean he’s not a reliable starter.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Garrett Crochet's Catastrophic Debut: What Went Wrong?
“I'm not going to say that he's injured. I'm going to say in all likelihood, this was just a day that was terrible and everything else also went poorly that it snowballed into what it was.”
Should You Bench or Trade Crochet?
Pollack debates the emotional toll of benching Crochet, suggesting that trading him for Cam Schlittler is a psychological win despite the risk, as it removes anxiety — even if the trade is objectively worse.
Ryan Nelson and Will Warren: Hidden Gems with Flashes of Greatness
“I'm going to lean on starting him. Because, again, I think he's a good pitcher. Like six walkies. One walk here. And he should be in there for longer and get himself a win.”
Overvaluing One Good Start: Robleski, Ober, and the Danger of Recency Bias
Pollack cautions against overrating pitchers like Justin Robleski and Bailey Ober after strong but fluky outings, citing low strike rates, weak pitch mix, and unsustainable performance metrics.
The Pilot Rule: Why Noah Schultz Should Be Bench in His Debut
“Prospect's initial line, often terrible. Okay? Paul Skeens was bad. Tomorrow, what do we got on the slate? We got Joey Otani and Shota Minaga.”
“I'm not going to say that he's injured. I'm going to say in all likelihood, this was just a day that was terrible and everything else also went poorly that it snowballed into what it was.”
“Paul Skeens. That's the perfect example. Paul Skeens was bad. Tomorrow, what do we got on the slate? We got Joey Otani and Shota Minaga.”
“I'm going to lean on starting him. Because, again, I think he's a good pitcher. Like six walkies. One walk here. And he should be in there for longer and get himself a win.”
Host
nick pollack
person
garrett crochet
person
ryan nelson
person
will warren
person
noah schultz
person
paul skenes
person
justin robleski
person
bailey ober
person
luis severino
person
dean kramer
person
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