PPP 767 – Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers To Add And Drop – 4-7-26

Nick Pollock delivers a sharp, data-driven breakdown of fantasy baseball starting pitchers for April 7, 2026, cutting through noise with precise evaluations of early-season performances. The episode centers on a critical pivot: identifying pitchers who’ve overperformed due to luck or situational factors—like Jose Soriano’s unsustainable 13-for-16 balls in play for outs—and those who’ve regressed despite strong underlying metrics, such as Tanner Bybee’s command issues and declining fastball command. Pollock emphasizes that early-season stats can be misleading, especially in parks like Coors or against weak offenses, and warns against chasing short-term results. He highlights key value plays like Jansen Junk (despite a shaky start), Adrian Hauser (despite a blown save), and Ryan Nelson (with improved command), while cautioning against overvaluing pitchers like Cody Bolton in Coors or Michael McGreevy on two ticks of velocity. The episode’s core thesis? Don’t panic over a bad outing, but don’t trust a hot streak without context—especially when it defies a pitcher’s historical tendencies. Pollock’s analysis is grounded in advanced metrics like CSW (Called Strikes + Whiffs), extension, and pitch efficiency, revealing that some pitchers are thriving on unsustainable luck while others are quietly building momentum.