OTC 608 - Starters To Target Before Week Six

Pitcher List Fantasy Baseball1h 3mApril 24, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The hosts of Pitcher List Fantasy Baseball dive deep into fringe starting pitchers to target before Week Six, emphasizing the importance of identifying 'Toby' pitchers—those with high upside but inconsistent command—before they become mainstream. Eric Simulski and Nick Pollock highlight several under-the-radar options, including Connor Prelip, whose elite command and five-pitch mix make him a safer bet than the more hyped Peyton Tolley. They also spotlight Tanner Bybee, whose improved curveball command and pitch mix suggest a breakout is possible, and Peter Lambert, whose recent success against the Orioles could be a launching pad for a streaming run. The episode underscores that high walk rates in baseball may persist due to mental adjustments and rule changes, making pitchers with low walk rates and high left-on-base rates—like Casey Mize and Jack Flaherty—prime candidates for short-term value. The hosts caution against overvaluing pitchers like Zach Wheeler and Max Meyer without seeing them pitch in major league games, while advocating for strategic risk-taking on pitchers like Foster Griffin and Bubba Chandler, who are currently undervalued due to poor outings. Ultimately, the key takeaway is that the best opportunities lie not in the obvious stars, but in pitchers who are quietly improving and whose performance is being overlooked.

Key Takeaways
1

Target pitchers like Connor Prelip and Peter Lambert who are undervalued due to recent inconsistency but show elite command and pitch mix.

2

Prioritize pitchers with low walk rates and high left-on-base rates (e.g., Casey Mize, Jack Flaherty) as they are likely to regress to more sustainable fantasy performance.

3

Avoid overvaluing pitchers like Zach Wheeler and Max Meyer until they prove themselves in major league games after rehab starts.

4

Foster Griffin and Bubba Chandler are 'Toby' pitchers—high-risk, high-reward streamers—best used in 12-team leagues for short-term value.

5

Pitchers like Tanner Bybee and Michael Walker show signs of breakout potential due to improved secondary pitch command and pitch mix.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Opening: Week Six Starters Preview

Hosts Eric Simulski and Nick Pollock introduce the episode, setting the stage for a deep dive into fringe starting pitchers to target before Week Six. They acknowledge the delay in release and emphasize actionable, high-impact analysis.

2:00
3 min

Baltimore Orioles & Brandon Young

The hosts discuss Brandon Young’s promotion to the rotation due to Dean Kremer’s IL stint. While acknowledging his decent first start, they remain cautious due to lack of ceiling and inconsistent secondary stuff.

5:00
4 min

Shane Bieber & the 'Toby' Pitcher Strategy

Eric defends Shane Bieber as a low-end 4.05 ERA pitcher despite poor performance, arguing that his cutter and changeup command can be fixed. The hosts emphasize targeting 'Toby' pitchers—high-risk, high-reward streamers—over waiting for a breakout.

9:00
6 min

Peyton Tolley: Hype vs. Reality

The hosts analyze Peyton Tolley’s strong start against the Yankees, praising his four-seamer and cutter but questioning his sinker usage against righties and inconsistent secondary command. They caution against overvaluing him immediately.

15:00
5 min

Tanner Bybee & Pitch Mix Breakouts

Tanner Bybee’s improved curveball command and increased changeup usage against righties are highlighted as signs of a potential breakout. The hosts note it may be a one-start blip, but the pitch mix is promising.

High-Impact Quotes
I have him as a problem against the Orioles. I feel like this is one of those cases where I haven't pushed up a little bit more than normally would because it could be the launching pad of confidence.
Nick Pollock30:48
Viral: 82.0
I wouldn't be surprised if GioLito is up quickly. I'm not going to be excited about it until I see it.
Nick Pollock59:38
Viral: 70.0
is a, he's a Toby. He's an absolute Toby. That is someone who you just really like for the streams, but you don't feel like you have to hold on to White Sox.
Eric Simulski44:10
Viral: 63.0
Speakers

Hosts

Eric SimulskiNick Pollock
Topics Discussed
fringe starting pitchers95%toby pitchers90%pitcher command88%walk rate in baseball85%streaming options82%pitch mix analysis80%fantasy baseball waiver wire78%pitcher regression75%
People & Brands

Peyton Tolley

person

15xPositive

Connor Prelip

person

12xPositive

Eric Simulski

person

12xNeutral

Nick Pollock

person

11xNeutral

Peter Lambert

person

10xPositive

Tanner Bybee

person

8xNeutral

Casey Mize

person

7xNeutral

Foster Griffin

person

6xNeutral

Bubba Chandler

person

5xNeutral

Lucas Giolito

person

5xNeutral

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