CFT 75 - Pitcher We Love and Hate Through Week 1
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The first week of the 2026 MLB season delivered a wave of pitching surprises, and in this episode of *Pitcher List Fantasy Baseball*, Nick Pollock and Eno Saris dissect the performances that defied expectations. From Mitch Keller’s wind-aided sinker movement at Citi Field to Randy Vasquez’s explosive debut with a 97 mph sinker and 84 mph curveball, the duo explores how park effects, biomechanics, and pitch mix shifts are reshaping early-season projections. They caution against overreacting to outlier games—like Joe Boyle’s 75-pitch, zero-walk outing or Emerson Hancock’s no-hit start—while highlighting pitchers with sustainable upside: Mike Soroka’s immaculate inning, Foster Griffin’s command of a 92.9 mph cutter, and Brandon Sprott’s high-velocity arsenal. The episode reveals a critical theme: early-season movement data may be skewed by wind, park factors, and mechanical adjustments, making it essential to separate signal from noise in fantasy decision-making. Key takeaways include the importance of tracking pitch command beyond strike rates, recognizing that high-velocity changes (like Vasquez’s +1.5 mph) often signal real development, and understanding that wind effects at parks like Citi Field can dramatically alter sinker ride. The hosts also emphasize that pitchers with wide pitch mixes—especially those adding a new cutter or slider—deserve deeper scrutiny, even if their command is inconsistent.
Wind at Citi Field can add 4+ inches of horizontal sinker movement, making pitch movement data from that park unreliable early in the season.
Randy Vasquez’s 97 mph sinker and 84 mph curveball with 11-13 inches of break suggest a real arm talent shift, not just a one-game fluke.
Pitchers with a wide mix of 4+ distinct pitches (e.g., Sprott, Vasquez, Griffin) are more likely to sustain success than those relying on one or two offerings.
A 75-pitch, zero-walk outing from Joe Boyle is likely an outlier—his fastball has poor movement, and his 58% splitter strike rate suggests overuse of a two-strike pitch.
Citi Field’s wind effects can make sinkers appear to have 'double 18' ride; this is not mechanical improvement but environmental influence.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening Week Pitching Highlights & Early Trends
Nick and Eno kick off the episode with excitement over the first week of the season, focusing on pitchers who defied expectations. They set the stage by discussing the importance of early data, park effects, and the need to separate signal from noise in fantasy decision-making.
Cade Gavalli & Jose Soriano: Command vs. Stuff
The duo analyzes Cade Gavalli’s shaky command despite strong stuff and Jose Soriano’s improved four-seamer usage against right-handed-heavy lineups. They debate whether Soriano’s new approach can sustain success against lefties.
Mike Burrows & Luis Severino: Mechanical Shifts
They examine Burrows’ altered pitch mix and Severino’s increased velocity and vertical movement, questioning whether these changes reflect real improvement or just early-season variance.
Mitch Keller & Wind Effects at Citi Field
“It's literally just like, it's just a strong breeze. It's so funny. I played at Randall's Island when I was in high school. I pitched. Oh my gosh. Yeah. And you know what I'm about to say. That's crazy that you played there.”
Randy Vasquez & Brandon Sprott: Breakout Candidates
“This is one of, I think it was the main focus of the Peralta trade was Sprout. I know there's someone else, but that was some hitter probably. So I don't care.”
“This is one of, I think it was the main focus of the Peralta trade was Sprout. I know there's someone else, but that was some hitter probably. So I don't care.”
“think the cutter is actually a pretty big deal because his fastball's not that great and now he has three of them. So, you know, that's a decent way to get to do things.”
“I'm not going to sit here and say like, oh yeah, cool. This is Soroka now. He's going to go against Atlanta and I'm totally in. However, this wasn't undeserved of a start.”
Host
Guest
Nick Pollock
person
Eno Saris
person
Jose Soriano
person
Randy Vasquez
person
Cade Gavalli
person
Citi Field
place
Mike Burrows
person
Coors Field
place
Luis Severino
person
Joe Boyle
person
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