SLIDING DOORS: Did The Cowboys Make The Right Decision PASSING On Rueben Bain and Dillon Thieneman?
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In this episode of Locked On Cowboys, hosts Marcus Mosher and Landon McCool analyze the Dallas Cowboys' 2026 NFL Draft strategy, asking whether they made the right decisions by passing on top prospects like Reuben Bain and Dylan Thienemann. The discussion centers on three key scenarios: trading up to pick Sonny Stiles at #6, staying put at picks #12 and #20, and trading up into the top 5 for Arvel Reese. While the hosts acknowledge the allure of elite talent like Bain and Reese, they ultimately conclude that the Cowboys' actual draft—securing Caleb Downs and Malachi Lawrence while gaining additional picks through strategic trades—was a superior outcome. They praise the team’s ability to balance immediate needs with long-term value, especially through the fifth-year option on linebacker contracts and the acquisition of high-upside players at lower cost. The episode reflects on the importance of draft process over outcome, emphasizing that the Cowboys executed their strategy with precision and flexibility. The hosts highlight that while alternative scenarios are tempting in hindsight, the actual draft results delivered on multiple fronts: elite pass rushers, a versatile nickel back, and a strong return on draft capital. They also note the broader implications for the Cowboys’ front office, suggesting that this draft proves the effectiveness of their evolving analytics-driven approach. Despite minor critiques—such as potentially trading down further from #23—the consensus is that the Cowboys delivered an A- draft, one that could have been an A+ with a few different choices but still stands as a model of smart, adaptive drafting in a complex draft landscape.
The Cowboys' decision to trade up for Caleb Downs and later acquire Malachi Lawrence was strategically sound, delivering high-value players while gaining additional draft picks.
Passing on Reuben Bain and Dylan Thienemann was justified due to the superior long-term value of the players they did select, especially with the fifth-year option on linebacker contracts.
Trading up to #6 for Sonny Stiles would have been risky and likely not better than the actual outcome, especially given the depth of talent available at #39.
The draft showcased the effectiveness of the Cowboys' analytics-driven process, proving that flexibility and value maximization can coexist with need-based selections.
The ability to trade down and still gain extra picks (especially fourth-rounders) significantly increased the team’s draft capital and long-term flexibility.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction and Draft Context
The hosts introduce the episode, discussing the Dallas Cowboys' strong 2026 draft and setting up a deep dive into alternative scenarios, including passing on Reuben Bain and Dylan Thienemann.
Trading Up for Sonny Stiles at #6
The hosts evaluate the hypothetical trade up to #6 to select Sonny Stiles, weighing the immediate need at linebacker against the opportunity cost and value of the players available at #39.
Staying at #12 and #20: The 'Best Player Available' Approach
“I think that's hard to answer because I think if I'm power ranking the scenarios, my thought process is that Caleb Downs is by far the best of these four players to have an immediate impact.”
Trading Up for Arvel Reese in the Top 5
“I think that there's the way it all played out. The Cowboys got a ton of value for all those picks, but you know, that's the problem kind of with trading up...”
Final Assessment and Process Evaluation
“I think from a process standpoint, they had needs at safety, or really nickel, linebacker, an edge, and they came out of the first three rounds with a nickel guy, probably the next, the best nickel in the class...”
“I think that's hard to answer because I think if I'm power ranking the scenarios, my thought process is that Caleb Downs is by far the best of these four players to have an immediate impact.”
“I think that there's the way it all played out. The Cowboys got a ton of value for all those picks, but you know, that's the problem kind of with trading up...”
“The fact that you were able to make the small trade up and then again, like I can't stress this enough. The fact that you were able to more than make up for the trade, like you might as well have just had him fall to you at 12.”
Hosts
Caleb Downs
person
Malachi Lawrence
person
Dallas Cowboys
other
Reuben Bain
person
Dylan Thienemann
person
Sonny Stiles
person
Arvel Reese
person
Cleveland Browns
other
Locked On Podcast Network
brand
Ruggia
brand
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