TIP806: Wise PLC w/ Kyle Grieve and Daniel Mahncke
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In this in-depth episode of The Investors Podcast, Kyle Grieve and Daniel Mahncke explore Wise PLC, a cross-border payments company that has achieved 90% annual profit growth over the past five years while delivering only 1% annual returns to investors since its 2021 IPO. The hosts unpack the paradox, attributing it to an unsustainable 390x earnings valuation at peak market euphoria, despite Wise’s robust underlying business. Wise operates on a unique 'economies of scale shared' model, leveraging direct banking connections across 8 global markets to bypass SWIFT and deliver near-instant, low-cost transactions. Its diversified revenue streams—cross-border fees, card income, investment returns from customer deposits, and the Wise Platform—create resilience and counter-cyclical advantages, especially in high-interest-rate environments. The discussion emphasizes Wise’s strategic take rate compression as a deliberate move to strengthen customer loyalty and fuel a self-reinforcing flywheel of scale, reinvestment, and growth. Despite past regulatory issues involving founder Kristo Grieve, the hosts frame them as personal tax matters unrelated to corporate governance, praising the company’s founder-led culture, strong insider ownership (33% of shares, with Grieve holding 18% and 49.3% voting rights), and disciplined capital allocation, evidenced by a 33% return on invested capital and adherence to Buffett’s $1 rule. The upcoming US dual listing in Q2 2026 is highlighted as a key catalyst, with Daniel Mahncke planning to increase his position post-listing via tax-advantaged accounts. The episode concludes with admiration for Wise’s mission-driven ethos and its potential to transform global finance through innovation and transparency.
Wise’s business model thrives on 'economies of scale shared,' where cost savings from scale are passed directly to customers via lower fees and faster transactions, creating a self-reinforcing flywheel of growth.
Diversified revenue streams—including cross-border fees, card income, investment returns from customer deposits, and the Wise Platform—make the business resilient and counter-cyclical, especially in high-interest-rate environments.
Direct banking connections (8 global, more in pipeline) and a founder-led, long-term vision with strong insider ownership (33% shares, 49.3% voting rights) create structural moats and alignment with shareholders.
Deliberate take rate compression is a strategic strength, not a weakness, enhancing customer loyalty and ecosystem growth, while the company reinvests heavily in infrastructure (over £5B since inception).
The upcoming US dual listing in Q2 2026 is a major catalyst, expected to improve investor access and valuation, with hosts planning to increase positions using tax-sheltered accounts.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Wise Paradox: High Profits, Low Stock Returns
“Wise went public when the market was at peak euphoria. This euphoria created a price for Wise that was simply not sustainable over market cycles as it approached 390 times earnings.”
How Wise Actually Works: The Mechanics of Borderless Payments
“Wise doesn't necessarily move money internationally. Instead, what it really focuses on is matching flows locally.”
Competitive Advantages and the Flywheel of Scale
“Wise is one of the few businesses that I've come across that fits very nicely into this model of scale economy shared.”
Regulatory Fines: Personal vs. Corporate Risk
The hosts analyze the fines imposed on Kristo Grieve for tax and conduct violations, emphasizing that these were personal financial missteps unrelated to Wise’s business operations. They argue the fines, while significant, do not reflect corporate governance failures and are more a cautionary tale than a red flag.
Founder-Led Vision and Long-Term Strategy
“Our vision is money without borders and we are building the best way to move and manage the world's money. Minimum fees, maximum ease, full speed.”
“Wise doesn't necessarily move money internationally. Instead, what it really focuses on is matching flows locally.”
“Our vision is money without borders and we are building the best way to move and manage the world's money. Minimum fees, maximum ease, full speed.”
“Wise went public when the market was at peak euphoria. This euphoria created a price for Wise that was simply not sustainable over market cycles as it approached 390 times earnings.”
Hosts
Wise PLC
organization
Kyle Grieve
person
Daniel Manka
person
Christo Carmen
person
SWIFT
other
Kristo Grieve
person
Remitly
organization
Airwallex
organization
NetSuite
organization
Financial Conduct Authority
organization
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