Ready Set Bet | April 26, 2026 | Hour 3
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In this episode of Ready Set Bet, hosts Matt Brown and Mike Somage dive into a high-stakes NBA playoff game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors, highlighting a historically poor shooting performance from both teams—Cleveland at 22% from three, Toronto at just 6%—yet the Raptors hold a narrow 56-51 lead in the third quarter. The hosts express disbelief at the offensive futility, joking about their own ability to make free throws, while also analyzing the game’s momentum and live odds. The discussion shifts to NHL playoff action, with strong endorsements for first-period unders in both the Sabres-Bruins and Avalanche-Kings matchups, citing consistent trends and favorable team dynamics. The episode also covers MLB betting, including props for the A's vs. Rangers and Padres vs. Diamondbacks, with a focus on favorable pricing and situational advantages. A deep dive into the Kentucky Derby follows, with detailed handicapping of 20 horses, including standout picks like Full Effort and Golden Tempo, and a discussion of late scratches and their impact. The episode closes with insights on NFL rookie of the year odds, cautioning against overvaluing high draft picks without starting opportunities.
First-period unders in NHL playoffs have hit 16 of 21 times this postseason—strong trend worth betting on.
Cleveland and Toronto are shooting below 20% from three; expect regression, but not enough to justify betting the over.
Full Effort (20-1) is a top Kentucky Derby contender despite no dirt experience, with elite breeding and strong workouts.
Anaheim Ducks are a strong late-game play (+115) against Edmonton, who lack defensive discipline and are missing key players.
Avoid betting on high-drafted NFL rookies like Jeremiah Love unless odds improve significantly due to uncertain starting roles.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening: The Robinson Effect & NBA Shooting Futility
The episode opens with a promotional segment for Robinson, followed by a sharp critique of the Cavaliers-Raptors game, where both teams are shooting poorly from three and the free throw line, creating a low-scoring, high-tension atmosphere.
NBA Playoff Analysis: Poor Shooting, High Stakes
Hosts dissect the Cavaliers-Raptors game, emphasizing the absurdly low shooting percentages (6% from three for Raptors) and questioning why no one is betting on the over despite clear regression potential.
NHL Playoffs: First Period Unders & Trending Bets
“We're going back to the well here. I love me some first period unders pretty much any series except for Dallas and Minnesota and that Edmonton and Anaheim series.”
MLB Betting: A's vs. Rangers & Padres vs. Diamondbacks
Analysis of the A's vs. Rangers game focuses on lefty hitters against Kamar Rocker, while the Padres-Kings game highlights RBI props due to high total line and favorable conditions in Mexico City.
Kentucky Derby Handicapping: 20 Horses & Late Scratches
“Full Effort is the horse that's growing on me... 20 to one, pretty good price. So when candidate for me here on the 24 effort, having not touched dirt, I would just go out and get a handful and rub it on him and see how he reacts.”
“We're going back to the well here. I love me some first period unders pretty much any series except for Dallas and Minnesota and that Edmonton and Anaheim series.”
“The Ducks have been flying. It's a very young hockey team who has been very streaky... but they've been playing really, really good hockey.”
“Full Effort is the horse that's growing on me... 20 to one, pretty good price. So when candidate for me here on the 24 effort, having not touched dirt, I would just go out and get a handful and rub it on him and see how he reacts.”
Hosts
Guests
Mike Somage
person
Matt Brown
person
Toronto Raptors
other
Cleveland Cavaliers
other
Anaheim Ducks
other
Buffalo Sabres
other
Edmonton Oilers
other
Boston Bruins
other
Colorado Avalanche
other
Full Effort
other
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