A Numbers Game | March 31, 2026 | Hour 2

VSiN Best Bets45mMarch 31, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this second hour of 'A Numbers Game' on VSiN Best Bets, host Gil Alexander and co-host Kelly Bidlon dive deep into NBA award projections, particularly the Rookie of the Year and MVP races, with guest Drew Dinsick. They argue that Khan Knepel’s statistically dominant rookie season—measured through EPM, usage, and minutes—makes him the clear frontrunner, despite voter insecurity and long-term bias favoring Cooper Flagg. The discussion highlights how emotional and reputational concerns can distort voting, even when data overwhelmingly supports a choice. The conversation then shifts to the Kentucky Derby, where the absence of top favorites like Renegade and Commandment due to injuries has opened the field wide, with Chief Wallaby emerging as a value pick at 15-1. Mark Borchardt joins to discuss MLB’s new automated strike zone, praising its potential to clean up data and restore integrity to the game, while also sharing a winning base winner parlay involving the Mets, Dodgers, and Rockies. The episode closes with a mix of NBA betting insights, including a strong lean on the Knicks over the Rockets and concerns about the Clippers’ and Rockets’ offensive fragility.

Key Takeaways
1

Khan Knepel’s statistical dominance in EPM, usage, and minutes makes him the clear Rookie of the Year favorite, despite voter hesitation.

2

Nikola Jokic’s historic triple-double season is undervalued in MVP discussions, especially given the Nuggets’ injuries and underperformance.

3

The Kentucky Derby is wide open after key favorites like Renegade and Commandment were sidelined by injury; Chief Wallaby (15-1) is the top value play.

4

Automated strike zones in MLB are improving data accuracy and fairness, reducing the impact of bad calls on game outcomes and betting lines.

5

The Knicks are a strong bet against the Rockets due to Houston’s offensive reliance on Durant and poor ATS record, while the Clippers’ underdog status offers value.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

The Numbers Behind Rookie of the Year: Knepel vs. Flagg

There's nothing that could happen between now and the end of the season that would change the fact that Khan Knepel has had a better rookie year. And so why would you vote for anyone else to be the rookie of the year?

Highlight
10:00
10 min

MVP Debate: Jokic’s Historic Season vs. Public Perception

If you said to somebody 15 years ago that a center was averaging a triple-double, it might make their heads explode off their body because it's so unbelievable.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Kentucky Derby: A Wide Open Field After Key Injuries

The chalk in this race has evaporated. And it is now wide freaking open.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

MLB’s Automated Strike Zone: A Game-Changer for Data Integrity

Mark Borchardt praises the new automated strike zone system in MLB for cleaning up data and eliminating bad calls. He argues that this will improve handicapping accuracy and restore fairness to the game, while sharing a winning base winner parlay.

40:00
10 min

NBA Betting Plays: Knicks, Clippers, and Rockets

The hosts break down key NBA betting lines, favoring the Knicks over the Rockets due to Houston’s offensive fragility and poor ATS record, while also making a case for the Clippers as a dark horse against the Spurs.

High-Impact Quotes
If you said to somebody 15 years ago that a center was averaging a triple-double, it might make their heads explode off their body because it's so unbelievable.
Gil Alexander24:03
Viral: 88.0
There's nothing that could happen between now and the end of the season that would change the fact that Khan Knepel has had a better rookie year. And so why would you vote for anyone else to be the rookie of the year?
Drew Dinsick9:10
Viral: 85.0
The chalk in this race has evaporated. And it is now wide freaking open.
Drew Dinsick20:43
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Hosts

Gil AlexanderKelly Bidlon

Guests

Drew DinsickMark Borchardt
Topics Discussed
NBA Rookie of the Year Race95%MVP Award Projections90%Kentucky Derby Betting88%Automated Strike Zone in MLB85%NBA Betting Strategies80%Team Injuries and Playoff Outlook75%Data Integrity in Sports Betting70%Longshot Futures Plays65%
People & Brands

Drew Dinsick

person

15xPositive

Gil Alexander

person

12xNeutral

Khan Knepel

person

12xPositive

Nikola Jokic

person

10xPositive

Kelly Bidlon

person

10xPositive

Mark Borchardt

person

8xPositive

Houston Rockets

other

8xNegative

Cooper Flagg

person

8xNeutral

Denver Nuggets

other

7xPositive

Los Angeles Clippers

other

6xPositive

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