Follow The Money | May 7, 2026 | Hour 1
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In this hour-long episode of VSiN Best Bets' 'Follow the Money,' hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the latest sports betting action across the NBA, NHL, MLB, and the impending expansion of March Madness. The discussion kicks off with a detailed breakdown of the Sixers-Knicks playoff series, analyzing the impact of OG Anunoby’s injury, the shift in betting lines, and the historical trend of road teams overcoming 2-0 deficits—now largely reversed due to bookmaker adjustments. The hosts highlight key props, including Cat’s assist over, Paul George’s shooting streak, and the Spurs’ 10-game winning streak after a loss. They then pivot to the NBA’s Western Conference, where the Thunder’s dominance is emphasized, with strong prop picks for Hachimura and the team’s expected blowout performance. In hockey, the focus shifts to the Flyers-Carolina matchup, with a sharp focus on power play inefficiency and the historical trend of under bets in playoff games. The episode closes with a passionate debate on the NCAA tournament’s expansion to 76 teams, featuring strong opposition from top coaches like Mark Few, Dan Hurley, and John Calipari, who warn that expanding the bracket risks devaluing the regular season and the tournament’s prestige. The hosts express skepticism, calling the move a 'monstrosity' that undermines the sport’s integrity.
Bookmakers have adjusted lines to reflect the diminished value of road teams coming back from 2-0 deficits in the NBA playoffs.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dominant force at home with a 49-9 straight-up record in one-day rest scenarios since March 2024.
The expansion of March Madness to 76 teams is facing fierce resistance from top coaches who argue it will devalue the regular season and ruin bracket integrity.
Matt Vaskirgin’s Cy Young candidate pick is teased for later in the episode, signaling a major MLB betting angle.
Prop bets on player turnovers remain unavailable at most sportsbooks, despite growing interest and high-profile player struggles like James Harden’s 29 playoff games with more turnovers than made field goals.
NBA Playoffs: Sixers vs. Knicks & the Collapse of the Comeback Trend
“The first half ATS is only 23 and 21 overall. And in fact, it was still pretty good right after the pandemic from 2021 to 2023. It was 14 and eight ATS. But since then, 2023 to last year, 6-8.”
Thunder’s Dominance & the Case for a Blowout in Game 2
“They're also 49-9 straight up, 38-19-1 ATS playing at home in the one-day rest scenario going back to March 2024. They're a machine.”
Hockey & the Power Play Paradox: Flyers vs. Carolina
The hosts analyze the Flyers-Carolina matchup, emphasizing the Flyers’ worst power play in the league and Carolina’s 94% kill rate. They reference the historical trend of under bets in playoff games and the 60% chance of game three going over after the first two games go under.
MLB: Cubs’ Comeback Magic & Imanaga’s Cy Young Hopes
“After another strong performance today, if you were not listening on Sunday to get 90-1, if you can find 40-1 on him right now or maybe even a little bit better at some places, I would say Shote is definitely worth a shot.”
March Madness Expansion: A Controversial New Era
“I am a big believer in the idea that if it's not broke, don't fix it. And I think that applies to the NCAA tournament.”
“I am a big believer in the idea that if it's not broke, don't fix it. And I think that applies to the NCAA tournament.”
“They're also 49-9 straight up, 38-19-1 ATS playing at home in the one-day rest scenario going back to March 2024. They're a machine.”
“The first half ATS is only 23 and 21 overall. And in fact, it was still pretty good right after the pandemic from 2021 to 2023. It was 14 and eight ATS. But since then, 2023 to last year, 6-8.”
Hosts
Guest
Mitch Moss
person
Pauly Howard
person
Oklahoma City Thunder
other
NCAA Tournament
organization
Paul George
person
V-CIN
brand
Philadelphia 76ers
other
New York Knicks
other
Chicago Cubs
other
OG Anunoby
person
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