Follow The Money | May 1, 2026 | Hour 1
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The first hour of 'Follow the Money' on VSiN Best Bets, hosted by Mitch Moss and Paulie Howard, delivers a deep dive into the most shocking playoff performances of the night, starting with the Minnesota Timberwolves' stunning upset of the Denver Nuggets. The Wolves, despite being without key players and facing a 14-point underdog status, pulled off a historic victory fueled by standout performances from Jade McDaniels and Terrence Shannon, turning the series into a massive betting bonanza. The episode then shifts to the NBA's Eastern Conference Finals, where the Philadelphia 76ers' recent dominance has created a massive public betting bias, with 96% of spread handles on the Sixers at plus 7.5. The hosts express skepticism about this trend, questioning whether the team's recent form is sustainable, especially with injuries and the return of key players like Jayson Tatum. The discussion extends to the NHL, highlighting the absurdity of Atlanta’s 62-19 second-quarter collapse and the psychological toll on the team. The segment also covers Premier League action, with Nigel Seeley joining to predict Arsenal’s likely win over Fulham and Bournemouth’s potential upset of Crystal Palace, driven by European qualification stakes. Throughout, the hosts emphasize the importance of betting against the public, leveraging data, and identifying value in overlooked angles.
The Minnesota Timberwolves' 14-point underdog win over Denver was a historic upset, driven by Jade McDaniels and Terrence Shannon’s breakout performances.
Public betting is overwhelmingly favoring the Philadelphia 76ers in the Eastern Conference Finals, creating a major value opportunity to bet against the crowd.
Atlanta’s 62-19 second-quarter collapse is one of the most extreme blowouts in playoff history, with no precedent in modern NBA history.
Arsenal is a strong favorite to beat Fulham, but the hosts recommend betting on them to win 2-0 at +125 for better value.
Bournemouth are strong favorites against Crystal Palace, who are likely to rest key players for their upcoming Europa Conference League match.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening: Job Messe & Show Intro
The episode begins with a German-language job fair advertisement for Spandau-Arkaden, followed by the official intro to VSiN's 'Follow the Money' with Mitch Moss and Paulie Howard live from Circa Resort and Casino in Las Vegas.
Timberwolves' Historic Upset Over Denver
“I'm still shocked at how bad Denver played the entire series. And what McDaniels did offensively and defensively. And for them to be playing eight guys, and they win the game and win the series.”
Public Betting Bias & the 76ers' Overvaluation
“96% of the spread handle on the Sixers at plus 7.5 at DraftKings. 79% of the Moneyline handle on Philadelphia plus 250. That is... overwhelming, and that's based on the last two games.”
Atlanta's 62-19 Collapse: A Playoff Anomaly
“I've never seen anything like it. Kaminga was minus 40 in the first half. Impossible. Data goes back more than a generation, more than two generations. That's the biggest number of all time.”
Nigel Seeley Joins: Premier League Predictions
Nigel Seeley joins the show to discuss Premier League action, predicting an Arsenal win over Fulham and a Bournemouth upset of Crystal Palace, driven by European qualification stakes and team motivation.
“The last time the greats won a Stanley Cup, Gordie Howe was 27. Bobby Orr was 24. Gretzky was 27. Lemieux 26. Sid the Kid, 29. Alex Ovechkin, 32. Yager was 20. I can't get over that. It's hard to win.”
“96% of the spread handle on the Sixers at plus 7.5 at DraftKings. 79% of the Moneyline handle on Philadelphia plus 250. That is... overwhelming, and that's based on the last two games.”
“I've never seen anything like it. Kaminga was minus 40 in the first half. Impossible. Data goes back more than a generation, more than two generations. That's the biggest number of all time.”
Hosts
Guest
Mitch Moss
person
Paulie Howard
person
Minnesota Timberwolves
other
Denver Nuggets
other
Philadelphia 76ers
other
Atlanta Hawks
other
Arsenal
other
Bournemouth
other
Nigel Seeley
person
Manchester United
other
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