Follow The Money | March 31, 2026 | Hour 3
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In this episode of VSiN Best Bets' 'Follow the Money,' hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into early-season Major League Baseball trends with guest Matt Vaskirgen, focusing on pitcher performance, strikeout projections, and team dynamics. Key discussions include the potential breakout of under-the-radar arms like Brandon Fott and Shane McClanahan, concerns over the A's offensive struggles, and the growing impact of the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike) system on umpire morale and game flow. The conversation shifts to broader NFL developments, with guest Derek Stevens, owner of Circa Las Vegas, revealing that the Super Bowl is set to return to Las Vegas in 2029, possibly on the last Sunday in February. Stevens also previews a potential 18-game regular season with two 'buy games,' a move driven by massive revenue opportunities and the NFL’s push to dominate the February sports calendar. The episode closes with a look at college basketball betting, including props and tournament implications, while the hosts reflect on the increasing commercialization and scheduling shifts across sports. The episode delivers actionable insights, including betting on Bubba Chandler’s strikeout total, under bets on Shane McClanahan’s strikeouts due to his long layoff, and the strategic value of early-season futures. It also highlights the growing tension between technology (ABS, AI projections) and human elements (umpires, players), as well as the financial incentives shaping the future of sports leagues. With a mix of sharp analysis, insider perspective, and real-time betting strategy, the episode underscores the importance of following the money—both in sports performance and in league business decisions.
Shane McClanahan’s return from a 1,000-day absence makes him a high-risk, high-reward strikeout prop with strong under-value potential.
The A’s offensive struggles (57 strikeouts in 4 games) suggest a short-term anomaly, but long-term concerns remain.
ABS challenges are creating tension with umpires, potentially leading to more confrontations and ejections as usage increases.
The NFL is pushing for an 18-game regular season with two 'buy games,' likely moving the Super Bowl to the last Sunday in February.
The rise of standalone games on streaming platforms is reshaping NFL scheduling, with Friday games and Black Friday doubleheaders under consideration.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening the Season: MLB Insights and Early Trends
The episode kicks off with a focus on early MLB performances, highlighting concerns over the A’s offensive struggles and the potential breakout of pitchers like Lozardo and Warren. Hosts discuss the impact of new pitch mixes and the importance of early-season consistency.
ABS Challenges and Umpire Morale
“I wonder if it could lead to some absolutely preposterous ejections. Would that be a thing maybe where the umpire gets so flustered that he starts getting into with a manager and then prematurely tosses someone?”
Pitcher Projections and AI Tools
“I don't know that eight is a realistic thing. All right. How about Soriano going against the Cubbies? Yeah, he's fascinating, man.”
NFL’s 18-Game Season and Super Bowl 2029
“The last Sunday in February is where I think Super Bowls are going. The fact that the Super Bowl and Atlanta and the Super Bowl here, the date hasn't been specified means this is obviously a hot topic.”
College Basketball Betting and Tournament Implications
The episode wraps with a look at college basketball betting, including props on Cleveland’s potential shenanigans, the Hornets’ playoff chances, and the impact of the NBA trade deadline on the sports calendar.
“The last Sunday in February is where I think Super Bowls are going. The fact that the Super Bowl and Atlanta and the Super Bowl here, the date hasn't been specified means this is obviously a hot topic.”
“I wonder if it could lead to some absolutely preposterous ejections. Would that be a thing maybe where the umpire gets so flustered that he starts getting into with a manager and then prematurely tosses someone?”
“I don't know that eight is a realistic thing. All right. How about Soriano going against the Cubbies? Yeah, he's fascinating, man.”
Hosts
Guests
Matt Vaskirgen
person
Derek Stevens
person
NFL
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Super Bowl 2029
other
A's
organization
Brandon Fott
person
Ballpark Paligan
organization
Pirates
organization
Shane McClanahan
person
Jacob DeGrom
person
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