Follow The Money | March 31, 2026 | Hour 2

VSiN Best Bets44mMarch 31, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this second hour of 'Follow the Money' on VSiN Best Bets, Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the NCAA Tournament, with a strong focus on Michigan vs. Arizona in the Final Four. They analyze betting lines, defensive matchups, and the surprising resilience of Illinois, who have limited opponents’ free-throw attempts and excelled despite poor shooting. The hosts debate whether Michigan’s rim protection and Arizona’s lack of three-point volume make the Wolverines the better bet, even as they’re slight favorites. The conversation shifts to NBA playoff implications, with concerns about Denver’s defense, the potential for a wide-open Eastern Conference, and the surprising strength of the Pistons despite missing Cade Cunningham. Henry Abbott joins the show to discuss the MVP race, where Victor Wembanyama’s recent surge has pushed him into contention, though Abbott still favors Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Abbott also weighs in on the rookie of the year debate, arguing that Cooper Flagg is far behind Chet Holmgren in advanced metrics. The episode closes with a lively segment on listener bets from the 'Pizzeria,' showcasing long-shot tickets that could pay out thousands, including a 2,000-to-1 Arizona national title bet. The hosts also discuss MLB’s lack of day games, with Rob Pozzola’s viral tweet calling for at least one day game daily to grow the sport’s audience.

Key Takeaways
1

Michigan’s strong interior defense and Arizona’s poor three-point volume make the Wolverines a compelling underdog pick despite being slight favorites.

2

Illinois’s ability to dominate without shooting well—especially by controlling the paint and limiting free-throw attempts—makes them a dark horse in the tournament.

3

The NBA playoff landscape is wide open, with the Pistons, Celtics, and Cavaliers all viable contenders, but the Sixers remain a risky bet due to playoff history and injury concerns.

4

Victor Wembanyama’s MVP odds have surged, but Henry Abbott still believes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win due to team success and voter bias.

5

Chet Holmgren is the clear frontrunner for Rookie of the Year based on advanced stats, despite early hype for Cooper Flagg.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Michigan vs. Arizona: The Final Four Betting Breakdown

The more you dig into the numbers and look at the overall matchup, I think it does benefit Michigan a little bit here.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Illinois: The Overlooked Tournament Powerhouse

Opposing teams have only gone to the free throw line 24 times in four tournament games against Illinois.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

NBA Playoff Outlook: The East is Wide Open

I think the Knicks are frauds. I don't think they're a good team.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

MVP & Rookie of the Year: Wemby vs. SGA & Holmgren

Henry Abbott joins to discuss the MVP race, where Wembanyama’s recent surge has pushed him into contention, but Abbott still favors SGA. He also argues that Chet Holmgren is the clear Rookie of the Year choice based on advanced stats, despite early hype for Cooper Flagg.

40:00
10 min

Listener Pizzeria: Long-Shot Bets & Winning Tickets

He also has Michigan Celtics and abs 157-1. Well, get one home with Michigan here. You're cooking with some Crisco, man.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
The only solution is to just do away with the draft, keep the salary cap and then let the next Victor decide if he wants to go play for Charlotte for 40 million or for the Thunder for 3 million.
Henry Abbott32:00
Viral: 95.0
I think the Knicks are frauds. I don't think they're a good team.
Pauly Howard18:02
Viral: 90.0
We got 15 baseball games and we don't have a day game. There should be a day game every single day.
Rob Pozzola41:44
Viral: 88.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mitch MossPauly Howard

Guest

Henry Abbott
Topics Discussed
NCAA Tournament Betting95%NBA Playoff Outlook90%Long-Shot Bets and Hedging88%MVP and Rookie of the Year Race85%Team Defense and Free Throw Limitation82%MLB Day Games and Fan Engagement78%NBA Draft and Tanking75%Coach Loyalty and Job Market70%
People & Brands

Mitch Moss

person

15xNeutral

Pauly Howard

person

14xNeutral

Michigan Wolverines

other

12xPositive

Henry Abbott

person

12xPositive

Arizona Wildcats

other

11xNeutral

Victor Wembanyama

person

10xPositive

Illinois Fighting Illini

other

10xPositive

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

person

9xPositive

Chet Holmgren

person

8xPositive

Denver Nuggets

other

8xNeutral

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