Follow The Money | April 29, 2026 | Hour 1
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In this high-energy episode of VSiN Best Bets, hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the Boston Celtics' frustrating playoff performance, dissecting their alarming 10-22 ATS record since 2020 and their recurring home playoff collapses—especially their recent 16-point loss despite a 13-point lead in the third quarter. The hosts express growing frustration with the team’s lack of focus, killer instinct, and overreliance on three-point shooting, citing a pattern of blowing leads and losing in high-stakes moments. They revisit the controversial idea of trading one of the core players, questioning the team’s long-term sustainability despite their regular-season dominance. The discussion then shifts to NBA playoff betting angles, including Orlando’s strong case to close out the Pistons despite Franz Wagner’s absence, and the Lakers’ underdog potential against the Rockets. The episode also covers NHL action, with strong emphasis on special teams and momentum shifts, particularly in the Flyers-Penguins series. Later, Jeff Seeley joins to break down the Cadillac Championship on the PGA Tour, highlighting under-the-radar picks like Jordan Smith and Colin Morikawa. The show closes with breaking news on Texas Tech’s Brendan Soresby, who allegedly placed over 10,000 bets while receiving payments from the school, sparking NCAA scrutiny. The hosts debate the severity of the situation and its implications for betting markets. Key takeaways include: 1) The Celtics’ playoff inconsistency is a systemic issue tied to shooting variance and mental lapses, not just bad luck; 2) Betting on underdogs in series where the favorite has blown leads (like Orlando vs. Pistons) offers strong value; 3) Players like Austin Reeves and Jordan Smith present high-upside, low-odds opportunities in sports betting; 4) NCAA athlete betting scandals, while not unprecedented, are increasingly being exposed and could impact team performance and betting lines; 5) Special teams and momentum shifts are critical in tight playoff series, especially in hockey. The overall sentiment is critical but analytical, with a strong emphasis on data-driven betting and systemic flaws in elite teams.
The Boston Celtics' 10-22 ATS record since 2020 and 13 home playoff losses as favorites highlight a systemic mental and strategic flaw.
Orlando’s strong performance despite Franz Wagner’s absence makes them a compelling underdog in Game 5 against the Pistons.
Austin Reeves’ projected 22 points and high usage in the Lakers-Rockets series makes him a top betting target.
Jordan Smith (65-1) is a sleeper pick at the Cadillac Championship due to strong stats and market undervaluation.
Brendan Soresby’s alleged 10,000+ bets while receiving payments from Texas Tech raises serious NCAA compliance concerns.
The Celtics' Playoff Collapse: A Systemic Crisis
“They're the guy who wins the lottery and is like, you know what, I'm not quitting my job. I like it. Why don't you want the time off? Why don't you want to rest? Why don't you want to close a series out?”
Betting Angles: Orlando vs. Pistons & Lakers vs. Rockets
“If you're the Lakers, you got to win and close them out right here. Because you're in their heads.”
NHL Playoff Drama: Flyers, Penguins, and Special Teams
The discussion turns to the Flyers-Penguins series, emphasizing the importance of special teams, momentum shifts, and goaltending changes. The hosts express skepticism about the first period under and favor the second period over, citing Philly’s poor start and Pittsburgh’s power-play dominance.
PGA Tour Preview: Cadillac Championship with Jeff Seeley
“He's a tremendous play this week, actually. Especially top 20. You can find him at plus 175 or so top 20.”
Breaking News: Brendan Soresby Betting Scandal
“They'll make an example out of him. He's done.”
“The Celtics would be symphony of destruction. Because it's happening one way or the other. They're going to blow you out by the three, or they're going to embarrass themselves by not making the three.”
“They're the guy who wins the lottery and is like, you know what, I'm not quitting my job. I like it. Why don't you want the time off? Why don't you want to rest? Why don't you want to close a series out?”
“They'll make an example out of him. He's done.”
Hosts
Guest
Boston Celtics
other
Brendan Soresby
person
Texas Tech
organization
Jeff Seeley
person
Philadelphia 76ers
other
Philadelphia Flyers
other
Orlando Magic
other
Pittsburgh Penguins
other
NCAA
organization
Los Angeles Lakers
other
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