Follow The Money | April 15, 2026 | Hour 3
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In this episode of VSiN Best Bets, hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into NBA and MLB betting strategies for the night, emphasizing the importance of following the money in sports betting. They analyze key props, particularly focusing on the Clippers-Warriors play-in game, where they question Golden State’s motivation given their injury-plagued roster and the potential draft lottery reward for losing. They highlight Andre Drummond as a top prop play due to Joel Embiid’s absence, citing his dominant rebounding in recent games without Embiid. The hosts also break down MLB matchups, using advanced metrics like FIP, expected ERA, and BABIP to identify pitchers due for regression, such as Eduardo Rodriguez and Shohei Otani. They discuss the Mets’ offensive struggles and advocate for the under in the Dodgers-Mets game. Later, Matt Eumann joins to discuss NFL Draft betting, noting the shrinking market for draft props due to bookmaker caution, while sharing his own bets on Ty Simpson and wide receiver totals. The episode concludes with a focus on NBA series prices, including Lakers-Rockets and Clippers-Warriors, with cautious optimism on the Lakers' chances in Game 1 despite key injuries.
Golden State Warriors may lack motivation to win their play-in game due to the potential draft lottery reward for losing.
Andre Drummond is a strong rebounding prop when Joel Embiid is out, with a proven track record in recent games.
Use advanced stats like FIP and expected ERA to identify pitchers due for regression, such as Eduardo Rodriguez and Shohei Otani.
The Mets’ offensive struggles make the under in their game against the Dodgers a compelling play.
NFL Draft betting has become less accessible due to bookmaker restrictions, but key props like Ty Simpson and wide receiver totals still offer value.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening: The Power of Following the Money
The hosts kick off the episode with their signature mantra: 'Always follow the money.' They set the tone by discussing the importance of analytics, streaming quality, and the legacy of legendary broadcasters like Brett Musburger and Keith Jackson. They preview upcoming segments on NBA and MLB betting.
Golden State Warriors' Motivation Questioned in Play-In Game
“If you told the Warriors right now, okay, if you lose this game, you're going to get one of those players. Yep. Or you can win the game, and you can go lose by 100 points combined to Oklahoma City. I think I know how they feel behind the scenes.”
Andre Drummond: The Underrated Rebounding Prop
“When Embiid did not play, the last three games of the regular season, Drummond had, in reverse order, 15, 16, and 12 rebounds. There was a game on April 1st. Embiid did not play. Drummond got nine.”
MLB: Identifying Pitchers Due for Regression
“He's going to get knocked around. That happened today. They actually got the win, but Baltimore scored plenty of runs.”
NFL Draft Betting: Market Shrinkage and Key Props
“The market has just dried up so much. And I heard you guys talk with Derek Stevens about this yesterday. And Derek exaggerated a little bit because Circa has won a couple of years on the draft.”
“If you told the Warriors right now, okay, if you lose this game, you're going to get one of those players. Yep. Or you can win the game, and you can go lose by 100 points combined to Oklahoma City. I think I know how they feel behind the scenes.”
“He's limping around like a cripple. He can barely pick up the ball or swing the club, and somehow he goes nine under at Augusta.”
“When Embiid did not play, the last three games of the regular season, Drummond had, in reverse order, 15, 16, and 12 rebounds. There was a game on April 1st. Embiid did not play. Drummond got nine.”
Hosts
Guest
Golden State Warriors
other
Clippers
other
Mitch Moss
person
Pauly Howard
person
Andre Drummond
person
Matt Eumann
person
Joel Embiid
person
Philadelphia 76ers
other
New York Mets
other
Los Angeles Lakers
other
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