Follow The Money | April 13, 2026 | Hour 3

VSiN Best Bets45mApril 13, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of 'Follow the Money' on VSiN Best Bets, hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into sports betting insights, team performances, and media coverage across MLB, NBA, NHL, and golf. The discussion kicks off with a scathing critique of the Denver Nuggets' decision to rest their starters in back-to-back games, which they argue handed the San Antonio Spurs a golden opportunity to eliminate them from contention and now forces Denver into a tougher playoff path. The hosts express disbelief at the lack of accountability from the Nuggets' front office and coaching staff, especially given their analytics-driven approach to load management. They also dissect the bizarre and frustrating coverage of the Masters, criticizing CBS for ignoring players outside the top five and failing to show key moments like Colin Morikawa’s valiant but ultimately unsuccessful effort despite physical struggles. The episode then shifts to betting analysis, with detailed projections on pitchers like Ryan Nelson and Yusei Kikuchi, highlighting regression indicators such as poor BABIP and high FIP. The hosts also discuss the rising Cy Young candidacy of Padres closer Mason Miller, the impact of narrative in awards, and the importance of tools like Opta AI for real-time betting decisions. A major segment covers the disappointing performances of several high-profile players and teams, including the Yankees’ poor record in one-run games and the Bucs’ underwhelming season despite a championship win, leading to calls for accountability and better management. The episode closes with a recap of weekend betting plays, including a failed tanking parlay involving the Rockets and a strong run on the Masters, while also highlighting the shocking WNBA trade of Rekia Jackson to Chicago.

Key Takeaways
1

Resting starters in back-to-back games can backfire dramatically, especially if it gives a rival team a clear path to a favorable playoff matchup.

2

Media coverage of major tournaments like the Masters often ignores compelling narratives outside the top contenders, undermining viewer engagement.

3

Advanced metrics like FIP, BABIP, and xERA are critical for identifying true performance and spotting regression opportunities in pitching.

4

Narrative plays a major role in award races—Mason Miller’s Cy Young buzz is growing, but it’s not yet reflected in odds.

5

Tanking strategies in sports are real and impactful; teams like the Rockets and Nets openly prioritize draft position over wins.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
5 min

The Denver Nuggets' Playoff Gambit

They set everybody Friday, still one eight, nine point move Spurs open two and a half go off a double digit favorite only Joker plays and they win.

Highlight
5:00
5 min

The Masters: A Story of Neglect

If you're not in the top five, they won't show you unless you have a hole-in-one break your club or you hit a tee shot off someone's forehead.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Pitching Regression & Betting Tools

He's walking a ton of dudes, 3.6 per nine, allowing 2.4 home runs per nine. And he has gotten very lucky so far this year with a batting average of balls in play number at 143.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

The Rise of Mason Miller & Cy Young Narrative

Discussion on Padres closer Mason Miller’s Cy Young buzz, driven by elite stats and growing national attention. The hosts emphasize how narrative can shift award conversations, even if stats aren’t yet at Gagne-level dominance.

30:00
10 min

Weekend Betting Recap & Tanking Parlays

Hosts review their weekend plays, including a failed tanking parlay involving the Rockets, and discuss the risks of betting on injured players. They also highlight the success of plays on players like Wood and Abrams.

High-Impact Quotes
If you're not in the top five, they won't show you unless you have a hole-in-one break your club or you hit a tee shot off someone's forehead.
Mitch Moss7:29
Viral: 90.0
They can't just retire and go away. You stink as a head coach. How many 3-1 blown leads did he have? He has the record. It's not even close.
Pauly Howard7:03
Viral: 88.0
They set everybody Friday, still one eight, nine point move Spurs open two and a half go off a double digit favorite only Joker plays and they win.
Pauly Howard43:19
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mitch MossPauly Howard

Guests

Trevor SykemaJonathan Davis
Topics Discussed
nba playoffs95%mlb betting analysis90%golf media coverage88%pitching regression85%sports betting tools82%tanking in sports80%cy young race78%wnba trades75%
People & Brands

denver nuggets

other

15xNegative

mitch moss

person

12xNeutral

pauly howard

person

11xNegative

colin morikawa

person

10xNegative

san antonio spurs

other

8xPositive

scotty scheffler

person

7xPositive

mason miller

person

6xPositive

doc rivers

person

6xNegative

jonathan davis

person

5xNeutral

sparks

other

4xNegative

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