Follow The Money | April 13, 2026 | Hour 2

VSiN Best Bets44mApril 13, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this second hour of 'Follow the Money' on VSiN Best Bets, Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the NBA playoffs, analyzing key matchups, player health concerns, and betting angles. They express skepticism about the Clippers' chances despite their strong finish, citing injury issues and uncertainty around Kawhi Leonard and Matherin. The Warriors' underdog status as the 10th seed is discussed with cautious optimism, especially if Steph Curry stays healthy. The hosts debate the pressure dynamics in the Knicks-Celtics series, arguing that Boston’s long-standing playoff disappointments make them the team under greater pressure. In the West, they question the Rockets’ high odds and highlight the Lakers’ potential resurgence if Luka Doncic and Austin Reeves return. The segment shifts to MLB, where they emphasize the unpredictability of the season and advocate for prop bets based on regression and advanced metrics like FIP and BABIP. They also discuss NHL playoff implications, with Jonathan Davis joining to break down key games, including the Rangers’ emotional send-off for Jonathan Quick and the potential for upsets in the final days of the regular season. The episode closes with reflections on futures betting, using the Charlotte Hornets’ improbable playoff run as a case study in how early-season performance can define a team’s fate.

Key Takeaways
1

Betting on NBA futures requires patience and a long-term view—early-season performance can drastically impact playoff odds.

2

Player health is the single biggest variable in playoff betting, especially with stars like Luka Doncic and Kawhi Leonard.

3

In MLB, use advanced stats like FIP and BABIP to identify undervalued pitchers and players due for regression.

4

The NHL’s final regular-season games carry massive implications—every point matters for playoff positioning.

5

The Knicks-Celtics series is a high-pressure matchup where Boston’s historical underperformance may outweigh their current talent.

Chapters
0:00
10 min

NBA Playoffs Preview: Warriors vs Clippers & Knicks-Celtics Pressure

I would say this is a major disappointment, especially all the times they had a good seed. We thought they had the better team in the bubble, lost to Miami. They were a ridiculous favorite in the conference finals against that eighth seed with Miami. And Butler beat them and they were down 0-3 and then lost game seven.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Lakers, Rockets, and the Return of Luka Doncic

It is a grade two hamstring strain. And on the other side, Austin Reeves, grade two oblique strain initially in early April. His timeline was four to six weeks. That would put him out at minimum the first week of May.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

MLB Betting Strategy: Props and Regression Plays

You have to attack it from a prop standpoint because there's a lot of things going on with props. And Pa has number one in average, number one in RBIs. Otani getting hot.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

NHL Playoff Implications and Key Matchups

Jonathan Davis joins the show to break down the final NHL games of the regular season. He discusses the emotional significance of Jonathan Quick’s retirement and the Rangers’ motivation to send him out on a high note. He also analyzes the Detroit-Tampa and Flyers-Carolina matchups, highlighting the Flyers’ opportunity to break a losing streak against a weakened Carolina team.

40:00
10 min

Future Bets and the Hornets’ Playoff Run

The hosts reflect on their 250-1 future bet on the Charlotte Hornets to make the playoffs, which nearly paid off despite a slow start. They use this as a case study in how early-season performance can define a team’s fate, even if they finish strong. The discussion underscores the value of futures betting for long-term engagement and potential high returns.

High-Impact Quotes
I would say this is a major disappointment, especially all the times they had a good seed. We thought they had the better team in the bubble, lost to Miami. They were a ridiculous favorite in the conference finals against that eighth seed with Miami. And Butler beat them and they were down 0-3 and then lost game seven.
Pauly Howard6:57
Viral: 85.0
It is a grade two hamstring strain. And on the other side, Austin Reeves, grade two oblique strain initially in early April. His timeline was four to six weeks. That would put him out at minimum the first week of May.
Pauly Howard14:35
Viral: 78.0
You have to attack it from a prop standpoint because there's a lot of things going on with props. And Pa has number one in average, number one in RBIs. Otani getting hot.
Mitch Moss17:23
Viral: 72.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mitch MossPauly Howard

Guest

Jonathan Davis
Topics Discussed
NBA Playoffs95%Player Injuries and Health90%Futures Betting88%MLB Betting Strategy85%Prop Bets and Regression82%NHL Playoff Implications80%Advanced Baseball Metrics75%Coach of the Year Race70%
People & Brands

Pauly Howard

person

20xNeutral

New York Knicks

other

16xPositive

Mitch Moss

person

15xNeutral

Boston Celtics

other

15xMixed

Los Angeles Clippers

other

14xNegative

Golden State Warriors

other

12xNeutral

VSiN

organization

10xPositive

LeBron James

person

10xPositive

Luka Doncic

person

8xMixed

Jonathan Davis

person

8xPositive

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