The 2026 Market: What to Tell Your Clients Right Now
Get the full intelligence
Search transcripts, export clips, track mentions, and explore all topics from “The 2026 Market: What to Tell Your Clients Right Now” inside PodZeus.
The U.S. real estate market in 2026 is not collapsing — it's evolving. Despite rising foreclosures, inventory, and persistent mortgage rates near 6.5%, the market remains fundamentally strong due to historically high homeowner equity, low delinquency rates, and a borrower base far more financially stable than in 2008. Tom Ferry and guest David Childers dismantle the fear-driven narrative by revealing that only 100,000 foreclosure filings occur per quarter — a fraction of the 9 million seen during the housing crisis. They emphasize that 75% of homeowners have mortgages below 6%, and two-thirds either own their homes outright or have 50%+ equity. The real story isn't a national crash, but a deep bifurcation: prices are flat or slightly down in high-inventory markets like Texas and Florida, while high-demand areas with limited supply — especially in desirable school districts and four-bedroom homes — remain hot. The key takeaway? Agents who educate clients with data-driven insights, not fear, become irreplaceable. By showing clients precise market trends, pricing strategies, and equity advantages, agents can build trust, close more deals, and thrive in uncertainty. The episode delivers a powerful message: in a world of noise, the most valuable asset isn’t a listing or a lead — it’s the ability to be the trusted, data-backed educator.
Mortgage rates are expected to remain flat near 6.5% through 2026, with no significant drops anticipated — but 75% of homeowners have rates below 6%.
Only 100,000 foreclosure filings occur per quarter — a fraction of the 9 million during 2008 — and most homeowners have equity to avoid distress.
Two-thirds of U.S. homeowners either own their home free and clear or have 50%+ equity, making mass foreclosures highly unlikely.
Inventory is up 5% nationally but still 13% below 2019 levels; the real estate market is deeply bifurcated by location, school district, and home size.
The average homeowner has gained $128,000 in equity over the last six years — a powerful financial buffer no one should ignore.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The 2026 Market Reality: Beyond the Fear
“We live in the strongest real estate market of our lifetime. There is not a case to be made for a national foreclosure wave.”
Mortgage Rates: The Flatline Reality
David Childers debunks the myth of imminent rate drops. Despite geopolitical turmoil and Fed speculation, projections show rates staying flat in the low sixes. He emphasizes that even if rates dip briefly, it will be a 'blip on the radar.' The real story: 75% of homeowners already have rates under 6%.
Inventory: The Bifurcation Myth
While national inventory is up 5%, it’s still 13% below 2019 levels. The real story is regional: Northeast states like New York and New Hampshire are down 40-50%, while Texas and Florida see inventory growth. The market isn’t collapsing — it’s shifting.
Sellers’ Delusion vs. Market Reality
“The longer the home is on the market, the bigger the price cut becomes. That makes perfect sense, but being able to show somebody the actual information here... is unreal.”
The Top 50 Markets: Where Prices Are Falling
David breaks down the top 50 markets, showing that red states (like Texas, Florida, California) are down 2-3%, but have still seen 60-70% appreciation over the last five years. The real issue isn’t a crash — it’s a correction in overvalued markets with rising supply.
“We live in the strongest real estate market of our lifetime. There is not a case to be made for a national foreclosure wave.”
“You can take this information and go, here's what I see happening. And you don't have to agree with me. You can apply your expertise in your market and say, here's what I see happening.”
“Taking just a few minutes to show people this is what's happening in the market, I think is sort of the difference maker by far.”
Host
Guest
David Childers
person
Tom Ferry
person
Patrick Bet-David
person
TomFerry.com
organization
Federal Reserve
organization
YouTube
organization
Michelle
person
Success Summit
other
Steve Harney
person
Polymarket
organization
Update: How I Would Handle Every Paycheck Today
The Tom Ferry Podcast Experience • 30m • 4/2/2026
How to Get Out of Production & 2X Sales Every Year | Outliers
The Tom Ferry Podcast Experience • 33m • 4/9/2026
How To Run A $100M Real Estate Business From Anywhere | Outliers
The Tom Ferry Podcast Experience • 30m • 4/16/2026
The AI & Marketing Behind a $100M+ Team-Style Brokerage | Outliers
The Tom Ferry Podcast Experience • 43m • 4/23/2026
Age 24. 300 Deals. Here's How He Did It. | Outliers
The Tom Ferry Podcast Experience • 36m • 4/30/2026
Get the full intelligence
Search transcripts, export clips, track mentions, and explore all topics from “The 2026 Market: What to Tell Your Clients Right Now” inside PodZeus.
Start discovering podcast insights today
Start with a 7-day trial and explore a growing catalog of popular podcasts. No credit card required.
No credit card required • 7-day trial • Cancel anytime
