How Asia became ground zero for the oil crisis

The Take21mApril 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

This episode of The Take explores how Asia has become the first region to feel the full force of a global oil crisis triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting 20% of global oil and gas flows—most of which are destined for Asia. The host, Malika Bilal, speaks with Veena Najibola, Vice President of Research and Strategy at the Asia-Pacific Foundation of Canada, who recounts firsthand experiences across the Philippines, India, and Taiwan, where fuel shortages, price spikes, and emergency measures like four-day work weeks and school closures have severely impacted daily life. Countries with limited strategic reserves—like the Philippines, Bangladesh, and Pakistan—are hit hardest, while even larger economies like India face cascading effects on cooking gas, electricity, and remittances. The episode underscores how the crisis is not just economic but existential for millions, threatening livelihoods, fueling political unrest, and forcing governments to make impossible choices between subsidies and fiscal stability. As the crisis spreads, ripple effects are already visible in food prices, tourism, and global supply chains, with warnings that the full impact will soon reach Europe, Africa, and Latin America. Najibola emphasizes that while some may view the crisis as an inconvenience, for many, it is a matter of survival—and calls for collective awareness, calm action, and solidarity.

Key Takeaways
1

Asia is the first region to face severe impacts from the oil crisis due to its heavy dependence on Middle Eastern oil and the strategic closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

2

Countries with limited strategic reserves, like the Philippines and Bangladesh, are experiencing fuel shortages, emergency measures, and economic strain.

3

The crisis is exacerbating political instability, with protests and leadership changes in Nepal and Bangladesh already linked to rising living costs.

4

Governments are forced to choose between subsidizing fuel (risking budget deficits) or allowing prices to rise (risking public unrest).

5

Diversification efforts—such as sourcing oil from Russia or negotiating direct trade with Iran—are underway but come with geopolitical and economic risks.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
4 min

Asia at Ground Zero of the Oil Crisis

Asia's being hit first by the oil shock from the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. But the rest of the world may not be far behind.

Highlight
4:00
6 min

The Human Cost in the Philippines and India

Veena Najibola shares her on-the-ground observations from the Philippines, where a national emergency was declared with only 45 days of fuel left, and from India, where millions of Gulf workers and families were affected by the war’s ripple effects, including cooking gas shortages and restaurant closures.

10:00
5 min

Why Asia Is So Vulnerable

The strait, which is an air body of water... 20% of the energy oil and gas of the world goes through that street, but majority of that goes to Asia.

Highlight
15:00
5 min

Government Responses and Impossible Choices

If they don't subsidize, they're risking unrest. If they do subsidize, there are issues around their budgets and how they're actually managing basically their economies.

Highlight
20:00
5 min

The Global Domino Effect

The crisis is no longer regional—Europe, Africa, and Latin America are seeing fuel shortages, inflation, and calls for reduced travel. The episode warns that food, textiles, and global supply chains will be disrupted as production costs rise.

High-Impact Quotes
It just makes no logical sense. Especially when, you know, you hear and the objective now becomes to kind of reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It's like, well, you're essentially saying now we need to wage this war to go back to where things were before the war started, right?
Veena Najibola16:17
Viral: 92.0
If you think you're not impacted by this, think again. But that doesn't also mean that you need to panic or you need to sort of feel like, okay, well, all else is lost and I can't do anything. This is too big. We can do something.
Veena Najibola20:15
Viral: 90.0
If they don't subsidize, they're risking unrest. If they do subsidize, there are issues around their budgets and how they're actually managing basically their economies.
Veena Najibola8:08
Viral: 88.0
Speakers

Host

Malika Bilal

Guest

Veena Najibola
Topics Discussed
oil crisis in asia95%strait of hormuz closure90%fuel shortages and austerity measures88%impact on developing economies87%global energy supply chain85%political unrest and social instability82%global inflation and supply chain disruption80%climate goals vs energy security78%
People & Brands

Veena Najibola

person

25xPositive

Malika Bilal

person

15xNeutral

Philippines

place

12xNegative

U.S.-Israeli war on Iran

other

10xNegative

India

place

8xNegative

Strait of Hormuz

other

7xNegative

Iran

place

6xNeutral

Bangladesh

place

5xNegative

Indonesia

place

5xNegative

Russia

place

4xNeutral

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