How Asia became ground zero for the oil crisis
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This episode of The Take explores how Asia has become the first region to feel the full force of a global oil crisis triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting 20% of global oil and gas flows—most of which are destined for Asia. The host, Malika Bilal, speaks with Veena Najibola, Vice President of Research and Strategy at the Asia-Pacific Foundation of Canada, who recounts firsthand experiences across the Philippines, India, and Taiwan, where fuel shortages, price spikes, and emergency measures like four-day work weeks and school closures have severely impacted daily life. Countries with limited strategic reserves—like the Philippines, Bangladesh, and Pakistan—are hit hardest, while even larger economies like India face cascading effects on cooking gas, electricity, and remittances. The episode underscores how the crisis is not just economic but existential for millions, threatening livelihoods, fueling political unrest, and forcing governments to make impossible choices between subsidies and fiscal stability. As the crisis spreads, ripple effects are already visible in food prices, tourism, and global supply chains, with warnings that the full impact will soon reach Europe, Africa, and Latin America. Najibola emphasizes that while some may view the crisis as an inconvenience, for many, it is a matter of survival—and calls for collective awareness, calm action, and solidarity.
Asia is the first region to face severe impacts from the oil crisis due to its heavy dependence on Middle Eastern oil and the strategic closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Countries with limited strategic reserves, like the Philippines and Bangladesh, are experiencing fuel shortages, emergency measures, and economic strain.
The crisis is exacerbating political instability, with protests and leadership changes in Nepal and Bangladesh already linked to rising living costs.
Governments are forced to choose between subsidizing fuel (risking budget deficits) or allowing prices to rise (risking public unrest).
Diversification efforts—such as sourcing oil from Russia or negotiating direct trade with Iran—are underway but come with geopolitical and economic risks.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Asia at Ground Zero of the Oil Crisis
“Asia's being hit first by the oil shock from the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. But the rest of the world may not be far behind.”
The Human Cost in the Philippines and India
Veena Najibola shares her on-the-ground observations from the Philippines, where a national emergency was declared with only 45 days of fuel left, and from India, where millions of Gulf workers and families were affected by the war’s ripple effects, including cooking gas shortages and restaurant closures.
Why Asia Is So Vulnerable
“The strait, which is an air body of water... 20% of the energy oil and gas of the world goes through that street, but majority of that goes to Asia.”
Government Responses and Impossible Choices
“If they don't subsidize, they're risking unrest. If they do subsidize, there are issues around their budgets and how they're actually managing basically their economies.”
The Global Domino Effect
The crisis is no longer regional—Europe, Africa, and Latin America are seeing fuel shortages, inflation, and calls for reduced travel. The episode warns that food, textiles, and global supply chains will be disrupted as production costs rise.
“It just makes no logical sense. Especially when, you know, you hear and the objective now becomes to kind of reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It's like, well, you're essentially saying now we need to wage this war to go back to where things were before the war started, right?”
“If you think you're not impacted by this, think again. But that doesn't also mean that you need to panic or you need to sort of feel like, okay, well, all else is lost and I can't do anything. This is too big. We can do something.”
“If they don't subsidize, they're risking unrest. If they do subsidize, there are issues around their budgets and how they're actually managing basically their economies.”
Host
Guest
Veena Najibola
person
Malika Bilal
person
Philippines
place
U.S.-Israeli war on Iran
other
India
place
Strait of Hormuz
other
Iran
place
Bangladesh
place
Indonesia
place
Russia
place
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