Ben Rhodes: Trump Is Getting a Terrible Deal
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In this incisive episode of The Bulwark Podcast, host Tim Miller welcomes back Ben Rhodes, former Deputy National Security Advisor under Barack Obama, to dissect the unfolding diplomatic crisis surrounding Iran and the potential deal emerging from talks in Islamabad. Rhodes delivers a scathing critique of Donald Trump’s war in the Middle East, arguing that the conflict—launched with the expectation of quick regime change—has resulted in massive destruction, trillions in economic damage, and a catastrophic erosion of U.S. global credibility. He contrasts the current proposed deal with the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) of 2015, emphasizing that the JCPOA had robust international oversight, verifiable limits on Iran’s nuclear program, and a permanent prohibition on nuclear weapons development. In contrast, the current negotiations lack legitimacy, involve no multilateral guarantors, and risk empowering Iran with billions in unfrozen assets while failing to dismantle its military capabilities. Rhodes warns that the war has strengthened Iran’s deterrence, emboldened its regional proxies, and alienated allies from Europe to the Gulf. He also critiques the hypocrisy of right-wing hawks who once vilified him for the JCPOA but will likely defend Trump’s deal, and highlights the moral failure of U.S. foreign policy under Trump, which has undermined both democratic values and American leadership. The conversation extends to Cuba, where Rhodes laments the rollback of Obama-era normalization efforts and the resulting humanitarian crisis, and to the broader theme of American identity, where he rebukes J.D. Vance’s exclusionary vision of nationalism as fundamentally un-American. Ultimately, Rhodes calls for Democrats to embrace an anti-war posture, prioritize domestic renewal, and lead through moral example rather than military force.
Trump’s war in the Middle East achieved no strategic objectives—regime change failed, Iran’s nuclear program advanced, and the U.S. lost global credibility.
The proposed Iran deal lacks the international legitimacy, verification mechanisms, and permanence of the JCPOA, making it vulnerable to collapse.
Iran’s demonstrated ability to shut down the Strait of Hormuz via drones and missiles gives them unprecedented economic leverage, which the U.S. failed to counter.
The war has strengthened Iran’s military and financial power, enabling it to rebuild ballistic missiles and fund regional proxies, while weakening U.S. alliances in Europe and the Gulf.
Right-wing hawks who once condemned the JCPOA will likely defend Trump’s deal, revealing their loyalty to Trump over principle.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Live Show Announcements & Guest Intro
Tim Miller promotes upcoming live shows in San Diego and Los Angeles, introduces Ben Rhodes as a former Obama administration official and author of 'All We Say: The Battle for American Identity,' and sets the stage for a discussion on current Middle East developments.
Trump’s War and the Iran Deal: A Strategic Failure
“He killed thousands of people with this war. He spent hundreds of billions of dollars. He probably wiped out trillions of dollars in price increases. You've got countries where people can't even access fuel. He decimated what was left of our international relationship.”
The JCPOA vs. the Current Iran Deal: A 101 Comparison
“The entire supply chain of the Iranian nuclear program from when you take uranium out of the ground to when you ship that stockpile out of the country was under monitoring and verification.”
The Consequences of Trump’s Withdrawal from the JCPOA
Rhodes explains how Trump’s 2018 withdrawal from the JCPOA accelerated Iran’s nuclear program, making the current negotiations more difficult and less effective than they would have been under the original deal.
The Real Cost: Iran’s Strengthened Deterrence and U.S. Alienation
“They will rebuild their ballistic missile capability. The nuclear program, by the way, they may very well say like we're not going to enrich uranium for a period of time because part of what they've learned, Tim, is that as long as they have a nuclear program, right, that's an option available to them.”
“You know who's not an American? Somebody who believes that all men are created equal. In the Declaration of Independence. Someone that believes in the Declaration of Independence but lives in Guatemala and is trying to come here and have a better life.”
“The world still has a conscience and it makes people like Trump look small. And that's what pisses Trump and JD off is that they can't knock this guy off his pedestal.”
“Most of these people that gave us no fucking room for error are going to give Donald Trump … a ocean's worth of room for error.”
Host
Guest
Ben Rhodes
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Tim Miller
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Donald Trump
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Iran
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JCPOA
other
Israel
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Barack Obama
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J.D. Vance
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Cuba
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Pope Leo
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Robert Kagan: We’re Transitioning to a Post-American World
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Bill Kristol: POTUS, the Macho Madman
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