Arash Azizi and Jodi Kantor: Iran Has the Leverage

The Bulwark Podcast1h 29mMay 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this expansive episode of The Bulwark Podcast, host Tim Miller engages in a deep, nuanced discussion with Arash Azizi, a historian and Yale lecturer, on the current geopolitical standoff between the U.S. and Iran. Azizi provides a clear-eyed analysis of the fragile negotiations surrounding the blockade, Project Freedom, and the potential for a deal, emphasizing that Iran’s leverage lies not in military dominance but in its ability to disrupt global energy markets and endure economic hardship. He challenges common Western narratives about regime collapse and internal fragmentation, arguing that Iran’s leadership, while ideologically divided, remains cohesive in pursuing pragmatic deals. Azizi also explores the deep disconnect between the Iranian people’s desire for a normal life and the regime’s ideological agenda, and offers a historically grounded vision of Iranian nationalism as non-aligned and independent. The episode then shifts to a powerful conversation with Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Jodi Cantor, who discusses her new book, How to Start Discovering Your Life's Work, offering candid, hopeful advice to young people navigating a disorienting job market. Cantor draws from her own experiences, including confronting Harvey Weinstein and reporting on the Supreme Court’s shadow docket, to advocate for resilience, curiosity, and rejecting cynicism in the face of systemic challenges. Her central message: failure is inevitable, but giving up is the real defeat.

Key Takeaways
1

Iran’s leverage stems from its ability to disrupt global energy flows and endure prolonged economic pressure, not from military strength.

2

Despite ideological divisions, Iran’s leadership is more cohesive than commonly believed, driven by pragmatic self-preservation.

3

The Iranian people overwhelmingly desire a normal life, not regime change, and are deeply alienated from the regime’s foreign policy agenda.

4

Young people should resist cynicism and embrace experimentation, as career paths are no longer linear or predictable.

5

Work can be a source of meaning and fulfillment, even in difficult times, but only if approached with courage and curiosity.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Welcome and Introduction to Arash Azizi

Tim Miller introduces the episode, welcoming listeners and setting the stage for a deep dive into Iran’s current geopolitical situation with historian Arash Azizi.

2:00
8 min

Iran’s Leverage and the State of Play

Iran’s leverage is that they think Trump is reluctant to return to the war and it considers it sort of unpopular war, which it is.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

The Myth of Iranian Regime Collapse

It reminds me of a country of 90 million. It has tons of borders with different countries. It has different sort of resourcefulness methods. It will be able to keep something going on for nine years.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Inside Iran: Cohesion vs. Hardliners

These hardliners are a minority and the regime's main bodies are actually pretty cohesive.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

Iran’s Economic Crisis and Public Sentiment

Azizi shares insights from conversations with Iranians, describing a society in limbo—rich elites partying in anticipation of collapse, while ordinary people face impossible economic hardship.

High-Impact Quotes
Jodi, I've been very successful. He actually was on the cusp of meeting somebody great, marrying her. But he said for people like you and me, there are always going to be work opportunities, but finding someone to love is the hardest thing.
Michael Kinsley (via Jodi Cantor)87:25
Viral: 95.0
Do not give up before you even start. Frustration and disappointment are certain. Failure is possible. But if you abdicate the search for satisfaction now, you will put it further out of reach.
Jodi Cantor73:35
Viral: 92.0
It reminds me of a country of 90 million. It has tons of borders with different countries. It has different sort of resourcefulness methods. It will be able to keep something going on for nine years.
Arash Azizi8:03
Viral: 88.0
Speakers

Host

Tim Miller

Guests

Arash AziziJodi Cantor
Topics Discussed
Iran-U.S. Negotiations95%Career Advice for Young Adults92%Geopolitical Leverage90%Iranian Domestic Politics88%Zionism and Nationalism85%Social Change and Resilience83%Supreme Court Shadow Docket80%Workplace Cynicism78%
People & Brands

Iran

place

22xNeutral

United States

place

18xNeutral

Arash Azizi

person

15xPositive

Trump

person

14xMixed

Jodi Cantor

person

12xPositive

Tim Miller

person

10xNeutral

IRGC

organization

8xNeutral

Supreme Court

organization

7xNeutral

Harvey Weinstein

person

6xNegative

Strait of Hormuz

other

5xNeutral

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