MLB DFS Morning Grind 4/7/2026
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In this episode of the Daily Fantasy Morning Grind, host Stevie TPFL dives into the first major 12-game MLB slate of the 2026 season, analyzing pitching matchups, stack potential, and value plays across DraftKings and FanDuel slates. With significant weather disruptions affecting his tech setup, Stevie remains focused on high-ceiling arms like Sandy Alcantara, Garrett Crochet, and Cam Littler, while cautioning against overvalued or inconsistent pitchers such as Andrew Abbott and Renardo Lopez. He highlights strong stack opportunities with the Yankees, Astros, and Tigers, particularly favoring Detroit’s lefty-heavy lineup against Taj Bradley. Coors Field presents a unique opportunity with the Rockies underpriced against Mike Burroughs, and Stevie champions value plays like Mickey Moniac and Joey Weimer. He also shares a three-leg parlay targeting low-scoring first five innings across several games, emphasizing strategic bankroll management and lineup construction for tournament success.
Prioritize high-strikeout pitchers like Alcantara, Crochet, and Littler over low-ceiling arms on this slate.
The Yankees, Astros, and Tigers are top stack candidates due to favorable matchups and pricing.
Coors Field offers value with Rockies bats underpriced against Mike Burroughs; consider stacking them.
Avoid pitchers with poor command or bad advanced stats (e.g., Abbott, Lopez, Eovaldi) despite low prices.
Use low-owned, high-upside plays like Joey Weimer and Mickey Moniac for tournament differentiation.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Welcome & Easter Weekend Wrap
Stevie opens the show with a warm welcome, reflecting on a long Easter weekend spent with his volleyball team in Atlanta. He shares excitement about returning to baseball, discusses technical issues with his internet and computer, and teases a 2,000-subscriber milestone on YouTube with a minor league hat giveaway.
Chicago vs. Tampa Bay: Pitching Matchup Analysis
Stevie breaks down the early game between the Cubs and Rays, dismissing Javier Assad and Drew Rasmussen as low-value options despite Rasmussen’s improved cutter usage. He highlights the Rays’ weak bullpen and suggests the Cubs stack as a viable road option, though not a top-tier play.
Sandy Alcantara & Cincinnati Marlins: A High-Value Play
“His changeup, his best pitch last year, has been incredible to start the season. It has a 91 batting average, a 135 X batting average, a 82 Woba, a 124 X Woba, a 44% whiff rate backed up by a 41% whiff rate on his slider.”
Milwaukee vs. Boston: Top Arms & Stack Potential
“I think both the pitchers in this game are really, really strong plays. I don't want any bats in this game. I'm just going to kind of catch up a little bit here.”
Coors Field & The Rockies Stack: Value Play of the Day
“The Rockies are way too cheap just way too cheap for this matchup. I think you're gonna see Rockies, Astros, Yankees. Top end pitching kind of the chalky builds today.”
“His changeup, his best pitch last year, has been incredible to start the season. It has a 91 batting average, a 135 X batting average, a 82 Woba, a 124 X Woba, a 44% whiff rate backed up by a 41% whiff rate on his slider.”
“The Rockies are way too cheap just way too cheap for this matchup. I think you're gonna see Rockies, Astros, Yankees. Top end pitching kind of the chalky builds today.”
“I think both the pitchers in this game are really, really strong plays. I don't want any bats in this game. I'm just going to kind of catch up a little bit here.”
Host
Stevie TPFL
person
Sandy Alcantara
person
Garrett Crochet
person
DraftKings
organization
FanDuel
organization
Cam Littler
person
New York Yankees
organization
Mike Burroughs
person
Houston Astros
organization
Coors Field
place
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