MLB DFS Morning Grind 4/14/2026
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In this 73-minute episode of the Daily Fantasy Morning Grind, host Stevie TPFL returns after missing Friday's show due to a NASCAR catch-up session. With 10 MLB games on the slate for April 14, 2026, Stevie dives deep into pitcher matchups, advanced stats, and DFS strategy. He highlights several high-upside pitchers including Mackenzie Gore, Joey Cantilio, and Ryan Weathers, emphasizing strikeout potential over traditional quality starts. Stevie expresses strong preference for pitchers with elite chase rates and whiff-heavy repertoires, particularly those with improved command or new pitch grips. He remains skeptical of pitchers with low strikeout rates like Sonny Gray and Michael McGreevy, despite their low prices. On the hitter side, he favors teams with high-contact, low-strikeout profiles such as Miami and Atlanta, while cautioning against stacking teams with weak bullpens or poor matchups. Notable recommendations include Jordan Alvarez, Owen Casey, and Jordan Walker for their low ownership and high upside. Stevie also announces a minor league baseball hat giveaway to celebrate reaching 2,000 YouTube subscribers, with the contest to be revealed Friday.
Prioritize strikeout upside over quality starts on slates with abundant pitching options.
Pitchers with high whiff rates (e.g., 40%+ on curveballs or sliders) and improved command are more valuable than raw velocity.
Stack teams with strong contact profiles (e.g., Marlins, Braves) rather than power-heavy lineups when facing elite lefty pitchers.
Avoid pitchers with poor K rates (below 20%) and high xWOBAs, even at low prices.
Player props like 'Under 6.5 strikeouts' for Yamamoto and 'Under 4.5 first five innings' for multiple games offer strong value.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Welcome Back & 2000 Subscriber Celebration
“I'm going to run a contest Friday. I'm going to run a contest Friday. I haven't decided if it's going to be like a DFS contest... or guess the highest fantasy score... something along those lines.”
Pitcher Analysis: Deemers vs. Weathers & Yankees Stack
“I like the strikeout matchup. As far as bats on the Angels side, it'd be the power guys. Neto, Soler, Odell, Trout. But I think I prefer Weathers in this matchup more than I prefer the Angels-Bats.”
Miami vs. Atlanta: Command Issues & Contact Teams
Stevie evaluates Max Meyer and Renardo Lopez, cautioning against Meyer due to poor command and low strikeout rates. He praises Miami’s contact-heavy offense and low ownership potential, calling them a 'sneaky good' stack option.
Toronto vs. Milwaukee: Gausman & Mizorowski Showdown
“His arm angle has kind of gone back closer to like 2022, 2023 Gaussman. I don't know if that's on purpose. It had dropped down over the last couple of years, but really great start to the season.”
Tampa vs. White Sox: Schultz & McClanahan Upgrades
Stevie expresses excitement over rookie Noah Schultz’s debut, citing his 6'9" frame, 97+ mph fastball, and elite slider. He also backs Shane McClanahan for his strong matchup against a weak White Sox offense.
“I'm going to run a contest Friday. I'm going to run a contest Friday. I haven't decided if it's going to be like a DFS contest... or guess the highest fantasy score... something along those lines.”
“I like the strikeout matchup. As far as bats on the Angels side, it'd be the power guys. Neto, Soler, Odell, Trout. But I think I prefer Weathers in this matchup more than I prefer the Angels-Bats.”
“He's just been one of the better strikeout pitchers in baseball. Yeah, 799 Ks. He struck out nine against Seattle. I mean, that's a really good start for him.”
Host
Stevie TPFL
person
Ryan Weathers
person
Mackenzie Gore
person
Joey Cantilio
person
Kevin Gausman
person
Noah Schultz
person
Jordan Alvarez
person
Owen Casey
person
Jordan Walker
person
Michael McGreevy
person
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