Total Bases | MLB Betting Picks Today | Wednesday Odds, Props & Best Bets | 4/15
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In this episode of WagerTalk's Total Bases, hosts Brian Leonard and Tokyo Brandon break down the day's MLB betting action with a focus on key matchups, team trends, and prop plays. The discussion centers on the Mets' seven-game losing streak and their upcoming series against the Dodgers, with both analysts expressing skepticism about the Mets' offense and cautioning against betting them despite favorable odds. They analyze Otani’s potential for a deep outing and the Dodgers' strong bullpen, ultimately leaning toward the Dodgers in the first five innings. The Brewers’ own losing streak is examined, with concerns over their struggling bullpen and lack of offensive consistency. The Blue Jays are deemed a risky play despite strong team metrics due to recent form and roster instability. The Pirates-Nationals game is evaluated for a potential over, though both teams' weak bullpens create uncertainty. The episode concludes with a high-conviction three-leg parlay: Dodgers first five innings (-220), Red Sox moneyline (-127), and Yankees-Angels first five over six (-110), all backed by detailed matchup analysis and prop projections.
The Mets' offensive struggles and lack of momentum make them a risky bet despite favorable odds.
Otani’s Cy Young pursuit suggests he may pitch deeper into games, favoring the Dodgers in the first five innings.
The Brewers’ bullpen is a major concern, with both their primary relievers performing poorly.
The Blue Jays’ recent form and roster instability make them a 'flaccid' team despite strong team metrics.
The Yankees-Angels game features two weak starters expected to walk 7.8 batters in under five innings, making the first five over six a strong play.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Mets' Losing Streak & Dodgers Matchup
“The Mets just do not look well at all. They started the game off with a home run from Lindor and they never scored again. That was the first batter of the game. So I believe that broke a 20-inning streak of not scoring.”
Brewers' Struggles & Bullpen Concerns
The discussion shifts to the Milwaukee Brewers, who are also on a seven-game losing streak. The hosts highlight their poor hitting, especially from key players, and express serious concerns about their bullpen, which has failed to close out games despite having experienced arms.
Blue Jays' Flaccid Form & Risky Play
Despite strong team metrics, the Blue Jays are labeled a 'flaccid' team due to poor recent performance and roster instability. The hosts debate whether to trust their numbers or avoid them based on current form and psychological momentum.
Pirates-Nationals Over & Bullpen Weakness
The Pirates-Nationals game is analyzed for a potential over, with both teams' weak bullpens and strong offenses creating a high-scoring environment. However, concerns about the Pirates' bullpen and Irvin’s strong matchup against them create hesitation.
Best Bet: Yankees-Angels First Five Over Six
“In less than five innings, they're expected to walk 7.8 batters. Eight batters in five innings are getting free passes in this game. The wind's blowing out at Yankee Stadium. I love this first five over.”
“I don't want to talk about the Red Sox anymore because they're just booty. I watched them yesterday. They play with zero heart.”
“The wind's blowing out at Yankee Stadium. I love this first five over.”
“The Mets just do not look well at all. They started the game off with a home run from Lindor and they never scored again.”
Hosts
Tokyo Brandon
person
Dodgers
other
Brian Leonard
person
Mets
other
Shohei Otani
person
Brewers
other
Red Sox
other
Blue Jays
other
Pirates
other
Twins
other
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