Total Bases | Friday MLB Picks: Best Bets, Odds & Predictions Today | 4/17/26

In this episode of WagerTalk's Total Bases, hosts Adam, Brian, and Tokyo Brandon break down Friday's MLB betting slate with a focus on key matchups, pitcher form, team momentum, and situational factors like weather and bullpen usage. The Red Sox vs. Tigers game draws strong discussion, with Brian and Tokyo favoring Boston due to better bullpen depth, recent momentum, and a potential letdown for the hot Tigers after a dramatic comeback win. The Rays vs. Pirates game is seen as a high-upside contest with strong young arms and offensive firepower, though defensive weaknesses on both sides raise questions. The Cubs vs. Mets game is analyzed for wind effects at Wrigley, with conflicting views on the Mets' value despite their recent struggles. The episode concludes with a detailed parlay recommendation: Braves minus 110, Red Sox minus 125, and Orioles first five innings team total over 1.5. The hosts emphasize avoiding 'falling knife' bets and stress the importance of value over emotion, especially with inconsistent teams like the Mets and Mariners. Connor Griffin’s daily prop continues to hit, and Parker Messick’s Cy Young value is questioned due to high expectations and workload concerns.