CPI Hits 3.3%, Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low — Stagflation Is Here
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Peter Schiff delivers a critical analysis of the U.S. economy in his Friday market wrap, warning that stagflation is now a reality. He argues that the recent 3.3% year-over-year CPI increase and record-low consumer sentiment of 47.6 signal a deepening economic crisis, driven not by war-related oil spikes but by reckless monetary policy and massive government spending. Schiff debunks the narrative that high oil prices cause inflation, asserting instead that inflation stems from the Federal Reserve's expanding money supply and balance sheet—evidenced by a 5% M2 growth and $18.5 billion weekly balance sheet increase. He criticizes President Trump’s economic claims, noting that GDP growth has slowed to 0.5% in Q4 2025, well below expectations, and that Trump’s 2.1% annual growth rate is lower than Biden’s best years. Schiff also highlights the psychological divide between Trump’s base and reality, with Republicans expecting zero inflation due to blind loyalty, while independents see the true economic pain. Despite market rallies on a temporary ceasefire, Schiff sees the fundamental economic picture as deteriorating, making gold, silver, and mining stocks more compelling than ever. Schiff concludes with strong investment recommendations: buy gold now below $4,750, silver near $75, and mining stocks through his asset management firm or the Europe Pacific Gold Fund. He emphasizes that the recent pullback in precious metals was healthy, clearing out speculative excess and setting the stage for a powerful bull market. He also promotes his T-Gold account and a new sponsor, West Red Lake Mining, as part of his broader strategy to position listeners for the coming monetary collapse. The episode ends with a call to action: subscribe to the Shift Gold channel, share the content, and prepare for a future where the dollar weakens and gold becomes the ultimate store of value.
Stagflation is here: weak GDP growth (0.5% Q4) and rising inflation (3.3% CPI) signal a dangerous economic imbalance.
Inflation is not caused by oil prices—it’s caused by Fed money printing and government spending, not war.
Consumer sentiment has hit a record low (47.6), worse than during the 2008 crisis, indicating widespread economic anxiety.
The Fed’s balance sheet is expanding via quantitative easing, with $18.5B added in one week—proof of ongoing inflationary policy.
Gold and silver are undervalued; Schiff urges buying now before the next leg up, especially in mining stocks.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Gold Rally on Peace, Market Reaction to Ceasefire
Schiff opens with a review of the week's market movements, noting gold's initial rally on the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, despite the counterintuitive nature of safe-haven assets falling on peace.
The Real Cause of Inflation: The Fed, Not Oil
“It's not oil prices going up. It's what the Fed does in response to oil prices going up. That's what makes all prices go up.”
CPI, PCE, and the Lies of Official Inflation Data
“The government lies about the CPI. They don't lie about what they charge you to buy a stamp.”
The Stagflation Trap: Weak Economy, High Inflation
“We've got a weak economy and we've got rising inflation. Inflation, I think in 2026, the way the government measures it, the CPI will probably be higher than at least three of the four years that Biden was president.”
Trump’s Economic Delusion and the Loyalty Trap
Schiff critiques Trump’s narrative of a 'great economy,' highlighting the disconnect between Trump’s claims and reality, especially among independents, and warns of the dangers of blind loyalty to a leader who cannot accept criticism.
“It's not oil prices going up. It's what the Fed does in response to oil prices going up. That's what makes all prices go up.”
“The government lies about the CPI. They don't lie about what they charge you to buy a stamp.”
“We've got a weak economy and we've got rising inflation. Inflation, I think in 2026, the way the government measures it, the CPI will probably be higher than at least three of the four years that Biden was president.”
Host
Donald Trump
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Gold
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Silver
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Iran
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Peter Schiff
person
Federal Reserve
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Oil
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CPI
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Shift Gold
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Post Office
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