From Y Combinator to mining, ft Earth AI’s Roman Teslyuk
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This episode of The Northern Miner Podcast dives into a pivotal moment in global mining and commodity markets, beginning with a deep analysis of the recent breakthrough in iron ore pricing between BHP and China's CMRG. The agreement, which incorporates a yuan-denominated index for pricing, marks a strategic win for China's push to internationalize its currency and challenge U.S. dollar dominance in commodity trade. The episode unpacks the geopolitical implications, noting that 51% of the new pricing formula is based on Chinese market data, signaling a shift in global pricing power. Beyond iron ore, the podcast covers a cascade of developments: sulfuric acid export bans from China impacting Chile’s copper production, frantic stockpiling of copper by the U.S. and China amid Middle East tensions, Indonesia’s aggressive expansion in aluminum via Chinese-backed smelters, and growing military involvement in mining regions—from the U.S.-backed $100 million mining guard force in the DRC to coordinated attacks in Mali. The show then shifts to a detailed interview with Roman Tesluk, founder and CEO of EarthAI, a Y Combinator-backed tech company that’s redefining mineral exploration through vertical integration and AI. EarthAI combines AI-driven predictive modeling, in-house drilling, and lab analysis to accelerate discovery, aiming to close the looming supply gap for critical minerals by 2040. The company’s model—drilling nonstop, iterating rapidly, and owning the entire exploration pipeline—represents a paradigm shift in an industry long plagued by slow timelines and fragmented processes. The episode closes with a call to rekindle the romance of exploration and highlight the transformative potential of technology in securing the world’s mineral future.
China has secured a landmark iron ore pricing agreement with BHP, incorporating a yuan-denominated index that gives it 51% weight in pricing—marking a major step toward currency internationalization.
EarthAI, a Y Combinator alumnus, is revolutionizing exploration by vertically integrating AI prediction, drilling, lab analysis, and land rights—cutting discovery timelines from 10–20 years to under two years.
The global critical minerals supply gap is severe: 650 new mines needed by 2040, yet only 40 deposits discovered annually, with just 1 in 5 becoming viable mines.
Geopolitical tensions are reshaping mining: U.S. and China are stockpiling copper, Indonesia is expanding aluminum smelting, and the DRC is building a $100M armed mining guard force.
AI is not replacing geologists but augmenting them—EarthAI uses specialized deep neural nets to detect hydrothermal systems, enabling faster, data-driven exploration.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Iron Ore Shift: China’s Currency Breakthrough
“The agreement marks the first time China's own market trading data has been incorporated into the iron ore pricing formula, representing a paradigm shift in pricing benchmarks.”
Global Mining Turmoil: Security, Supply, and Strategy
The podcast shifts to a broader geopolitical landscape, covering sulfur supply crunches in Chile due to Chinese export bans, the U.S.-backed $100M mining guard force in the DRC, coordinated attacks in Mali involving Russian-backed forces, and China’s expanding influence in Ecuador and Myanmar. These developments underscore the increasing militarization of mining regions and the strategic importance of critical minerals in global power dynamics.
The Critical Minerals Crisis and Geopolitical Tensions
“China is leveraging the U.S.'s geopolitical isolation under U.S. President Donald Trump as a way of building momentum away from the world's historic reliance on the U.S. dollar as the functional and reserve currency.”
EarthAI: The Future of Exploration with AI and Vertical Integration
“We can move much faster. We drill nonstop all year round. We can absorb new learnings and then change focus straight away. We don't have to wait for contractors, prepare sites, et cetera.”
“It's a full-on global tug of war. The rivalry between the two superpowers could easily pull the king of metals up to $15,000 per ton quicker than we can imagine.”
“China is leveraging the U.S.'s geopolitical isolation under U.S. President Donald Trump as a way of building momentum away from the world's historic reliance on the U.S. dollar as the functional and reserve currency.”
“We can move much faster. We drill nonstop all year round. We can absorb new learnings and then change focus straight away. We don't have to wait for contractors, prepare sites, et cetera.”
Host
Guest
roman tesluk
person
earth ai
organization
adrian pocabelli
person
bhp
organization
china mineral resource group
organization
fortescue
organization
y combinator
organization
washington
place
reuters
media
zhu yidan
person
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