How is the War in Iran Affecting You?
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This episode of The Middle examines the wide-ranging personal and global impacts of the U.S.-Israel war against Iran, which began two months prior with a bombing campaign that killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials. Host Jeremy Hobson, joined by former Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman and journalist Isaac Saul, explores how the conflict has disrupted global supply chains, driven up gas and grocery prices, strained U.S. alliances, and caused economic distress for everyday Americans—from taxi drivers to nurses. Listeners share emotional stories of financial strain, distrust in leadership, and anxiety over deployed family members, while experts debate whether the war was necessary, strategically sound, or a failure of diplomacy. Sherman warns that the war has undermined U.S. soft power and created long-term economic and geopolitical consequences, while Saul highlights the risk of an 'ambient war'—a prolonged, low-intensity conflict that becomes normalized despite its heavy costs. The episode ends with concern over future U.S. military interventions, including speculation about Cuba, and a call for more thoughtful, diplomatic engagement. Key takeaways include: 1) The war has caused a global energy shock, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and oil prices soaring, affecting everything from gas to healthcare; 2) The U.S. has lost international credibility due to unilateral action and inconsistent messaging, damaging long-term alliances; 3) Domestic political fallout is growing, with voters across the spectrum expressing disillusionment; 4) Military regime change has historically failed, and the current approach risks a prolonged quagmire; 5) Diplomacy, not force, should remain the primary tool for preventing nuclear proliferation. The overall tone is one of cautious alarm and deep concern, reflecting widespread frustration with the war's consequences and the lack of a clear exit strategy.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused a global energy shock, driving up gas, food, and shipping costs worldwide.
The war has severely damaged U.S. soft power and international trust, especially among allies who now question American leadership.
Diplomacy, not military force, is the most effective long-term strategy for preventing nuclear proliferation, as demonstrated by the 2015 Iran deal.
The war has created a 'silent' or 'ambient' conflict that may become normalized, with ongoing casualties and economic pain.
Military regime change has a poor historical track record and often leads to prolonged instability and unintended consequences.
The War's Immediate Impact on Daily Life
“It feels like I'm being lied to. It feels like I'm being lied to. If you remember in the state of union, he said that the gas prices were down and three weeks, two, a week later, he jumped into this war.”
Global Economic and Geopolitical Fallout
“We have frayed our alliances and our partnerships around the world with our disparaging comments about them.”
The Failure of Diplomacy and the Nuclear Question
“We thought we had a way forward. It wasn't perfect, but it really did buy us a hell of a lot of time.”
The Erosion of Trust in Leadership
“It's like, okay, so now what? We look like we don't know what we're doing. And it gives me anxiety.”
The Risk of a Long-Term Quagmire
Isaac Saul warns of an 'ambient war'—a prolonged, low-intensity conflict that becomes background noise, with rising costs and casualties that go unaddressed by the public.
“It's not about whether it's a Republican president or Democrat president. We do not do regime change well.”
“We thought we had a way forward. It wasn't perfect, but it really did buy us a hell of a lot of time.”
“We don't do regime change well because even though our conventional military is superb, all Iran has to do is hit one target in one of our ally and partner countries.”
Hosts
Guests
United States
place
Iran
place
Donald Trump
person
Wendy Sherman
person
Israel
place
Isaac Saul
person
Strait of Hormuz
other
Jeremy Hobson
person
DJ Tolliver
person
2015 Iran Nuclear Deal
other
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