Trump’s National Support Is Cratering
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President Trump's national approval rating has plummeted to a record low of 37% in a new New York Times poll—just below the long-expected 38% floor that once seemed unbreakable. Despite his iron grip on the Republican Party, with recent primary victories punishing dissenters, Trump is losing support across the board, especially among young voters and non-white Americans. His approval among 18-29-year-olds has collapsed from over 40% in 2024 to just 19%, while Hispanic support has dropped to 20%. This erosion is driven by dissatisfaction with his handling of the cost of living, the war in the Middle East, and immigration policies. Meanwhile, Democrats are poised for a major midterm comeback, leading by 10 points in the poll and potentially retaking the House—and even challenging for the Senate—despite Republican gerrymandering. The Democratic base, while ideologically divided, favors economic populism over cultural issues and wants leaders who oppose Israel’s current policies. Yet the party’s biggest challenge isn’t ideology—it’s proving it can stop Trump. On the Republican side, a growing minority of young and non-white Republicans want a new direction, but the party remains united behind Trump. The disconnect between the electorate’s desire for change and the GOP’s loyalty to Trump could spell disaster for the party in 2028.
Trump's approval rating has dropped to 37%, the lowest in his presidency and below the historic 38% floor.
Young and non-white voters—key 2024 Trump supporters—are now disapproving of Trump by 76% and 71% respectively.
Democrats lead Republicans by 10 points in the midterms, potentially retaking the House and challenging for the Senate.
Democratic voters favor economic populism—cracking down on corporate monopolies over expanding housing supply—by a 3:1 margin.
A majority of young and non-white Republicans want the GOP to move in a new direction, but the party remains unified behind Trump.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Crossplay Game Intro
The episode begins with a playful word game segment from The New York Times Games, featuring Michael Barbaro and colleague Dan.
Trump’s Approval Rating Plummets
“It's not necessarily hugely different from 38 percent, of course. That's a four point decline, though, since our last poll in January. And it's part of a broader decline in the president's approval rating over the last year.”
The Collapse Among Young and Non-White Voters
“Only, what was it, 18 months ago, the president won more than 40% and perhaps more than 45% of Hispanic voters and 18 to 29-year-olds. In our poll today, the president's approval rating among 18 to 29-year-olds is down to 19%. Wow, in half basically.”
The Democratic Midterm Surge
“The Democrats have built a significant 10-point lead in this poll. Wow. And that's very meaningful. It's much larger, by the way, than all of our prior polls this cycle.”
Democratic Base Wants Economic Populism
“They said by nearly a three to one margin that they'd rather have the party crack down on corporate monopolies.”
“The general electorate wants a new direction by a three to one margin. That's a big disconnect between the general electorates desires and what the Republican Party is about to give the general electorate.”
“There's no precedent for the president's party retaining the White House when his approval rating is under 40%, let alone even lower than that.”
“They said by nearly a three to one margin that they'd rather have the party crack down on corporate monopolies.”
Host
Guest
donald trump
person
nate cohn
person
new york times
organization
kamala harris
person
george w. bush
person
democratic national committee
organization
barack obama
person
joe rogan
person
nick fuente
person
tucker carlson
person
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