Best Bets for Monday | MLB & NHL Betting Picks

The Daily Juice - BettingPros14mApril 13, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

Matt Peralta kicks off a Monday morning episode of The Daily Juice podcast with a recap of the Masters, where Rory McIlroy's victory led to a profitable week for betting picks despite a rough Sunday. The team went 3-2 on the day's bets, including a successful hard rock bet on Justin Rose, and finished the week up 1.65 units. Peralta highlights the importance of the market-based EV tool from BettingPros, which identifies positive expected value bets by comparing odds across sportsbooks—especially valuable as the NBA playoffs approach. He then dives into MLB and NHL betting picks, favoring the under 8.5 for the Braves vs. Marlins game due to weak offensive trends and poor recent performances from both teams. For the Dodgers vs. Mets matchup, he recommends the Dodgers' money line at -158, citing their strong 11-4 start, home-field advantage, and the Mets' struggling pitching. In hockey, he backs the under 6.0 in the Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets game, noting Vegas controls their own playoff destiny, Winnipeg has nothing to play for, and the Golden Knights have improved defensively under new coach John Tortorella. The episode closes with sponsor plugs for Hard Rock Bet and other iHeart podcasts.

Key Takeaways
1

Use BettingPros' market-based EV tool to identify positive expected value bets, especially during the NBA playoffs.

2

The Dodgers money line at -158 vs. the Mets is a strong play due to their 11-4 record, home advantage, and the Mets' poor pitching.

3

The under 8.5 for Braves vs. Marlins is favored due to weak offensive performances from both teams in recent games.

4

The under 6.0 in Vegas vs. Winnipeg is a smart bet because Vegas controls their own playoff fate, Winnipeg has no incentive to win, and Vegas has improved defensively.

5

Avoid chasing hot picks—focus on value and market inefficiencies instead.

…and 1 more takeaway available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
3 min

Masters Recap & Weekly Betting Results

We're up 1.65 units on the Masters. So a profitable Masters.

Highlight
2:30
3 min

Introducing the Market-Based EV Tool for NBA Playoffs

You can bet with an edge instead of just chasing hot picks.

Highlight
5:00
5 min

MLB Betting Picks: Braves vs. Marlins & Dodgers vs. Mets

Anything under minus 175 on the money line for the Dodgers is a number that I think we have to consider.

Highlight
10:00
5 min

NHL Betting Pick: Vegas vs. Winnipeg & Sponsor Plug

Peralta makes the under 6.0 in the Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets game, citing Vegas's playoff control, Winnipeg's lack of motivation, and improved defensive play under John Tortorella. The episode ends with a sponsor plug for Hard Rock Bet.

High-Impact Quotes
Anything under minus 175 on the money line for the Dodgers is a number that I think we have to consider.
Matt Peralta9:10
Viral: 90.0
You can bet with an edge instead of just chasing hot picks.
Matt Peralta3:57
Viral: 88.0
We're up 1.65 units on the Masters. So a profitable Masters.
Matt Peralta2:33
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Host

Matt Peralta
Topics Discussed
market-based expected value92%mlb betting picks90%nba playoffs betting88%over-under betting87%nhl betting picks85%money line betting80%playoff odds and futures75%live betting70%
People & Brands

matt peralta

person

12xNeutral

vegas golden knights

other

9xPositive

dodgers

other

8xPositive

winnipeg jets

other

7xNegative

mets

other

6xNegative

marlins

other

6xNeutral

hard rock bet

brand

6xPositive

rory mcilroy

person

5xPositive

braves

other

5xNeutral

bettingpros

brand

4xPositive

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