Michael Weiss: Iran Is Not Likely to Forget about the War
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In this episode of The Bulwark, host Charissa engages in a wide-ranging discussion with Michael Weiss, editor at The Insider and author of 'ISIS Inside the Army of Terror,' focusing on the aftermath of the U.S.-led military campaign against Iran and its geopolitical implications. Weiss argues that while the U.S. has inflicted significant damage on Iran’s military and nuclear infrastructure, the regime remains intact and will not forget the war. He warns of a potential long-term pattern of periodic kinetic operations—what he calls 'mowing the grass'—to prevent Iran from rebuilding its capabilities, a new normal that could persist across future administrations. The episode also examines the fractured U.S. foreign policy landscape, with Trump’s erratic behavior, the failure of J.D. Vance’s diplomatic mission in Islamabad, and growing pressure from both Israeli and Gulf allies to maintain pressure on Iran. Weiss highlights the strategic importance of recent political developments in Hungary, where the defeat of Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party marks a major democratic reversal, exposing Russian espionage and restoring independent media. This victory, he suggests, offers a hopeful model for resisting authoritarianism. The conversation concludes with a sober assessment of Trump’s foreign policy legacy—marked by economic chaos, strategic overreach, and a dangerous erosion of U.S. credibility—while underscoring the urgent need for Europe to prepare for a world where American leadership is no longer reliable.
Iran will not forget the war and is likely to retaliate in the future, leading to a new status quo of periodic U.S. kinetic operations to prevent rearmament.
The U.S. has not achieved regime change or full military disarming of Iran, despite significant damage to its nuclear and missile programs.
The defeat of Viktor Orbán in Hungary signals a democratic resurgence and exposes deep Russian infiltration, offering a hopeful model for resisting authoritarianism.
Trump’s foreign policy has been driven by personal legacy-building rather than strategic coherence, leading to economic and diplomatic instability.
Europe is beginning to prepare for a 'decoupling' from the U.S., recognizing the need to strengthen its own defense and economic independence.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Trump's Midnight Rant and the Antichrist Meme
“Maybe it's possible that Trump isn't just somebody that makes some bad calls every once in a while. Maybe this has been the devil's work from the beginning.”
The Iran War: Objectives, Failures, and the New Normal
“We're in for a penny and for a pound. By doing what we've just done, we have wounded this regime. And this regime is not going to forget.”
The Collapse of the Iran Negotiation Effort and Regional Pressures
Weiss analyzes the failed diplomatic mission by J.D. Vance in Islamabad, the Iranian decision to retreat for fear of surveillance, and the growing pressure from Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf states to continue the war. He notes that Trump is under immense pressure not to accept a deal resembling the JCPOA.
The Rise of the 'Mowing the Grass' Strategy and U.S. Intelligence Gaps
“Good news is we fired all of our Iran experts at the FBI and DHS isn't being funded right now. Correct.”
Hungary’s Democratic Turn and the Fall of Orban’s Regime
“The end of a Russian satrapy in Central Europe, the end of Russia's sort of backdoor entry into the European Union and NATO is nothing short of extraordinary.”
“We're in for a penny and for a pound. By doing what we've just done, we have wounded this regime. And this regime is not going to forget.”
“Good news is we fired all of our Iran experts at the FBI and DHS isn't being funded right now. Correct.”
“Maybe it's possible that Trump isn't just somebody that makes some bad calls every once in a while. Maybe this has been the devil's work from the beginning.”
Host
Guest
Donald Trump
person
Michael Weiss
person
Iran
place
Hungary
place
Ukraine
place
Viktor Orbán
person
Russia
place
J.D. Vance
person
The Bulwark
organization
China
place
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