Katie Couric LIVE on Trump's AWFUL Polls, GOP's Gerrymander Faceplant, WHCD Drama
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In this live episode of The Bulwark, Katie Couric hosts Bill Kristol and JBL in a wide-ranging discussion on the shifting dynamics within the Republican Party and the Trump political dynasty. The conversation opens with a seismic moment: Tucker Carlson’s public admission of guilt over his support for Donald Trump, sparking debate over whether his remorse is genuine or a strategic pivot to position himself as a future Republican contender. The panel explores the implications of this defection, the potential for Trump to run again in 2028 despite the 22nd Amendment, and the possibility of a constitutional crisis if he attempts to remain in power. They also examine the Trump family’s vast financial gains—over $2 billion since 2017—and how the pursuit of power and profit may be driving their political ambitions. The discussion then turns to the ongoing war in the Strait of Hormuz, with the hosts expressing deep concern over Trump’s erratic leadership, the military’s quiet resistance, and the risk of a broader constitutional breakdown. Despite public loyalty among Republican voters, the panel warns that elite defections, strategic failures, and internal military unease could destabilize the movement from within. Key takeaways include: Trump’s obsession with power and image may override constitutional norms; elite media figures like Tucker Carlson may be strategically distancing themselves to position for future roles; the military’s civilian control is under strain but not yet broken; and the war in the Middle East is a strategic failure that benefits Iran. The episode concludes with a sobering assessment: the Republican movement is not monolithic but fracturing, and the real danger lies not in overt authoritarianism, but in the slow erosion of democratic norms through personal ambition and financial self-interest.
Tucker Carlson’s public apology may be a strategic move to position himself as a future Republican leader, not a genuine reckoning.
Trump’s potential 2028 run is a real possibility, even if it requires circumventing the 22nd Amendment through legal and political maneuvering.
The Trump family has pocketed over $2 billion in direct financial benefits since 2017, creating a powerful incentive to maintain access to power.
The war in the Strait of Hormuz is a strategic failure that has weakened U.S. credibility and strengthened Iran’s position.
Senior military officials are deeply concerned about Trump’s erratic leadership, but civilian control of the military remains intact—so far.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Tucker Carlson’s Defection and the New Republican Fracture
“I do think it's like a moment to wrestle with our own consciences. You know, we'll be tormented by it for a long time. I will be. And I want to say I'm sorry for misleading people and it was not intentional.”
Trump’s 2028 Ambitions and the 22nd Amendment Loophole
“I don't know, maybe they'll get a case to the Supreme Court. Maybe the Supreme Court will kick him off the ballot. Maybe not.”
The Trump Family’s $2 Billion Windfall and the Cult of Power
“Why would they give that up? If you're the Trump family, like, is there anything in our history with these people that suggests that they would voluntarily give up access to vast flows of money?”
The Strait of Hormuz War: A Strategic Disaster
“At the end of the day, the Iranian regime is there. And it's a big, huge defeat for us, I believe, in terms of the world as a whole, our alliance structure, the Middle East, reliability of the U.S.”
Military Resistance and the Fragility of Civilian Control
The panel discusses the quiet but real resistance within the military, the risks of a constitutional crisis, and the moral burden on senior officers who must serve under an erratic commander in chief.
“I don't know, maybe they'll get a case to the Supreme Court. Maybe the Supreme Court will kick him off the ballot. Maybe not.”
“Why would they give that up? If you're the Trump family, like, is there anything in our history with these people that suggests that they would voluntarily give up access to vast flows of money?”
“We could have a genuine constitutional crisis. We could have, you know, the entire Joint Chiefs say, I'm sorry, we're not doing that. We're resigning.”
Host
Guests
Donald Trump
person
Bill Kristol
person
JBL
person
United States Military
organization
Tucker Carlson
person
Iran
place
Strait of Hormuz
other
22nd Amendment
other
Pete Hegseth
person
Truth Social
other
Trump & Hegseth Are Increasingly Delusional on Hormuz; TACO Incoming?
The Bulwark • 19m • 3/31/2026
Kristi Noem's Husband Isn’t the Problem
The Bulwark • 36m • 3/31/2026
Reporters Now Need Escorts to Do Their Jobs at the Pentagon (w/ Elliot Williams)
The Bulwark • 22m • 4/1/2026
Possible Ground Troops in Iran, Trump Speech Preview and The Slow-Motion Destruction of NATO | Command Post
The Bulwark • 19m • 4/1/2026
Josh Barro and Paige Cognetti: The World Is Going to Blame Trump
The Bulwark • 10m • 4/1/2026
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