BREAKING: Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz; Delusional Leavitt Presser
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In this high-stakes reaction episode of The Bulwark, hosts JVL and Andrew Egger dissect Caroline Leavitt's press conference following a fragile, newly announced ceasefire in the Iran conflict. They express deep skepticism about the administration’s portrayal of a 'mission accomplished' moment, highlighting the stark contradiction between the White House’s upbeat messaging and ongoing military activity—especially Iran’s reported closure of the Strait of Hormuz and continued attacks on shipping. The hosts critique Leavitt’s evasiveness, particularly her refusal to confirm who is bombing Iran and her dismissal of reports of new explosions in Iran, while emphasizing that Iran’s public messaging to ships remains unchanged: vessels must still seek approval from the Revolutionary Guard Corps. The episode also scrutinizes President Trump’s sudden pivot toward endorsing a joint U.S.-Iran tolling system on the Strait, a proposal that contradicts the official stance and raises serious legal and strategic concerns. The conflict in Lebanon, where Israel launched a massive strike on Hezbollah, further complicates the ceasefire, as Iran claims it’s a violation, while the U.S. insists it’s outside the agreement’s scope. The hosts conclude that the administration is desperately clinging to a fragile truce while failing to address the fundamental imbalance of power and the lack of real enforcement mechanisms.
The White House is portraying a ceasefire as a victory despite ongoing violence and Iran’s de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran continues to enforce control over the Strait through direct communication with stranded ships, contradicting U.S. claims of openness.
President Trump’s suggestion of a joint U.S.-Iran tolling system on the Strait is legally and strategically untenable and contradicts official policy.
The ceasefire does not apply to Israel’s war with Hezbollah in Lebanon, creating a critical point of contention with Iran.
The administration lacks leverage to enforce compliance, as bombing has failed and ground troops are off the table.
Opening Reaction: A Mission Accomplished Mirage
“It really sounded like the kind of remarks that you would give the day after the actual signing of a conflict ending treaty far more so than just from a... We got what we set out to do.”
The Strait of Hormuz: Open or Closed?
“They're listening not to Trump. They're not saying, well, Donald Trump said, here's my hall pass. Donald Trump said I could come through here. They're listening to the group that has the ability to send drones to hit their vessels.”
Trump’s Surrender on Tolls: A Strategic Collapse?
“It was just like one of these things that you couldn't even imagine ever being said, even after yesterday. It was sort of like he said, what exactly?”
Lebanon and Hezbollah: The Unresolved Front
The hosts analyze the conflict in Lebanon, where Israel’s large-scale strike on Hezbollah triggered Iran’s accusation of ceasefire violation, while the U.S. maintains the ceasefire doesn’t apply.
The Illusion of Control and the Reality of Powerlessness
The episode concludes with a sober assessment: the U.S. lacks the military and diplomatic leverage to enforce compliance, leaving the ceasefire fragile and dependent on Iran’s goodwill.
“They're listening not to Trump. They're not saying, well, Donald Trump said, here's my hall pass. Donald Trump said I could come through here. They're listening to the group that has the ability to send drones to hit their vessels.”
“It was just like one of these things that you couldn't even imagine ever being said, even after yesterday. It was sort of like he said, what exactly?”
“It really sounded like the kind of remarks that you would give the day after the actual signing of a conflict ending treaty far more so than just from a... We got what we set out to do.”
Hosts
Iran
place
JVL
person
Andrew Egger
person
Strait of Hormuz
other
Caroline Leavitt
person
Israel
place
Donald Trump
person
Hezbollah
organization
Revolutionary Guard Corps
organization
Pakistan
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