UFC Fight Night Betting Preview | Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott
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The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast delivers a comprehensive UFC Winnipeg betting preview for a 12-fight card, focusing on key matchups, prop bets, and strategic angles. Host Sean Zerula and guest Billy Ward break down the main event between Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott, highlighting concerns about Malott's cardio and Burns' durability, while favoring live betting on Burns after round one. They strongly back Kyler Phillips to win the first round and potentially finish Charles Jourdain early, citing his superior striking and aggressive grappling. The duo also identify several underdogs with value, including J.J. Aldrich and Jai Herbert, though with mixed confidence. Key props include Gage Young’s KO odds, the under two and a half rounds in the Jasmine Jasudovicius vs. Karine Silva fight, and John Castaneda’s dominance over Mark Vologden. The episode concludes with a strong recommendation for Castaneda’s moneyline and a DFS-friendly play on Marcio Barbosa’s round-one KO. The hosts emphasize disciplined bankroll management and real-time market monitoring.
Bet live on Gilbert Burns after round one in the main event, especially if the line drops further.
Kyler Phillips to win the first round is a high-confidence prop, with strong value on the minus 1.5 point spread.
Gage Young is a strong favorite against Tiago Moises; target his KO prop at plus 300 and the fight ending inside the distance.
John Castaneda is undervalued against Mark Vologden; his reach, experience, and takedown defense make him a top pick.
The under two and a half rounds in the Jasudovicius vs. Silva fight is a high-value play due to Silva’s potential for early submission or disqualification.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Main Event: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott
“If this fight extends, I think Gilbert Burns has a chance to put him away late.”
Co-Main Event: Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips
“I could see a club and sub, but if I think it happens early, it's via his striking.”
Favorite Underdogs: Aldrich, Herbert, and Others
The hosts discuss underdog picks, including J.J. Aldrich and Jai Herbert, though with moderate confidence. They note the Canadian crowd advantage and the risk of overvaluing underdogs in home markets.
Top Props: Binary Fights and Early Finishes
“This is a very binary fight for me. I could probably tell the way I'm leaning based upon how I'm talking about it.”
Best and Final Bets: Castaneda and Barbosa
“This is probably my best bet... Mark Vologden's style is not sustainable against Castaneda.”
“If you saw it written down, it would not be an inspiration. It would not be on a calendar of, you know... the cat just hang in there.”
“I could see a club and sub, but if I think it happens early, it's via his striking.”
“This is probably my best bet... Mark Vologden's style is not sustainable against Castaneda.”
Host
Guest
Kyler Phillips
person
Gilbert Burns
person
Action Network
organization
Mike Malott
person
Charles Jourdain
person
iHeartRadio
organization
Billy Ward
person
Apple Podcasts
organization
Sean Zerula
person
Gage Young
person
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