UFC Fight Night Betting Preview | Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott

The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast43mApril 17, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast delivers a comprehensive UFC Winnipeg betting preview for a 12-fight card, focusing on key matchups, prop bets, and strategic angles. Host Sean Zerula and guest Billy Ward break down the main event between Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott, highlighting concerns about Malott's cardio and Burns' durability, while favoring live betting on Burns after round one. They strongly back Kyler Phillips to win the first round and potentially finish Charles Jourdain early, citing his superior striking and aggressive grappling. The duo also identify several underdogs with value, including J.J. Aldrich and Jai Herbert, though with mixed confidence. Key props include Gage Young’s KO odds, the under two and a half rounds in the Jasmine Jasudovicius vs. Karine Silva fight, and John Castaneda’s dominance over Mark Vologden. The episode concludes with a strong recommendation for Castaneda’s moneyline and a DFS-friendly play on Marcio Barbosa’s round-one KO. The hosts emphasize disciplined bankroll management and real-time market monitoring.

Key Takeaways
1

Bet live on Gilbert Burns after round one in the main event, especially if the line drops further.

2

Kyler Phillips to win the first round is a high-confidence prop, with strong value on the minus 1.5 point spread.

3

Gage Young is a strong favorite against Tiago Moises; target his KO prop at plus 300 and the fight ending inside the distance.

4

John Castaneda is undervalued against Mark Vologden; his reach, experience, and takedown defense make him a top pick.

5

The under two and a half rounds in the Jasudovicius vs. Silva fight is a high-value play due to Silva’s potential for early submission or disqualification.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
5:24
5 min

Main Event: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott

If this fight extends, I think Gilbert Burns has a chance to put him away late.

Highlight
10:00
7 min

Co-Main Event: Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips

I could see a club and sub, but if I think it happens early, it's via his striking.

Highlight
17:00
7 min

Favorite Underdogs: Aldrich, Herbert, and Others

The hosts discuss underdog picks, including J.J. Aldrich and Jai Herbert, though with moderate confidence. They note the Canadian crowd advantage and the risk of overvaluing underdogs in home markets.

24:00
7 min

Top Props: Binary Fights and Early Finishes

This is a very binary fight for me. I could probably tell the way I'm leaning based upon how I'm talking about it.

Highlight
31:00
7 min

Best and Final Bets: Castaneda and Barbosa

This is probably my best bet... Mark Vologden's style is not sustainable against Castaneda.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
If you saw it written down, it would not be an inspiration. It would not be on a calendar of, you know... the cat just hang in there.
Will Ferrell (via Ako Wodum)0:49
Viral: 88.0
I could see a club and sub, but if I think it happens early, it's via his striking.
Billy Ward29:48
Viral: 85.0
This is probably my best bet... Mark Vologden's style is not sustainable against Castaneda.
Sean Zerula40:50
Viral: 82.0
Speakers

Host

Sean Zerula

Guest

Billy Ward
Topics Discussed
UFC Winnipeg Betting Preview95%Fighter Cardio and Durability88%Live Betting Strategies85%Prop Bets and Binary Fights82%Fighter Style Matchups80%Underdog Selections78%DFS and Parlay Plays75%Market Efficiency and Value70%
People & Brands

Kyler Phillips

person

18xPositive

Gilbert Burns

person

15xMixed

Action Network

organization

15xPositive

Mike Malott

person

14xMixed

Charles Jourdain

person

12xMixed

iHeartRadio

organization

12xNeutral

Billy Ward

person

12xPositive

Apple Podcasts

organization

10xNeutral

Sean Zerula

person

8xNeutral

Gage Young

person

8xPositive

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