The Show I've Wanted to Make for Years
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In this special 'pseudo-first episode' of the new podcast *Predictable*, host Stu introduces his long-awaited shift from traditional political commentary to a data-driven, prediction market-focused news analysis platform. He reflects on his decades-long career in conservative media, from *Stu Does America* to the Glenn Beck program, emphasizing continuity in his core values—conservative principles, election analysis, and sharp political critique—while embracing a revolutionary new method: prediction markets. Stu argues that these markets aggregate collective wisdom more accurately than mainstream media, which he criticizes for agenda-driven narratives and emotional manipulation. He shares personal success stories from past elections, where prediction markets helped him anticipate outcomes like Trump’s 2016 and Biden’s 2020 wins, allowing him to profit while staying ahead of public shock. The episode sets the stage for the show’s official launch next week from Dallas, with a major guest: Michael Selig, Chairman of the CFTC, who will discuss regulation, risks, and the future of prediction markets. Stu promises not only better forecasting but also real financial opportunities for listeners, all while maintaining his signature humor and contrarian energy.
Prediction markets aggregate collective wisdom more accurately than traditional media narratives.
Stu has used prediction markets for election forecasting since at least 2012, with consistent success.
Mainstream media is criticized for agenda-driven content, not truth-seeking, creating information distortion.
Prediction markets offer a way to profit from informed insights, even without betting on every outcome.
The show will launch officially next week from Dallas, with Michael Selig (CFTC Chairman) as the first guest.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introducing Predictable: A New Era in News Analysis
“The name of the show, you'll be seeing it on this channel, is Predictable. And that is because that's what the world should be. It should be a little bit more predictable.”
Why Prediction Markets Are Better Than Mainstream Media
“When we do [prediction markets], we wind up with superior information. We know these things long before others do.”
Stu's Personal History with Prediction Markets
“I was buying shares of Donald Trump to become president of the United States on that night at 9%, which was able to give me 11 times plus my money in that market.”
The Role of Regulation and the CFTC
Stu introduces Michael Selig, Chairman of the CFTC, as the first guest on the show. He discusses the regulatory landscape, the political attacks on prediction markets (especially from Elizabeth Warren and AOC), and why oversight is essential but not inherently hostile.
The Financial and Cultural Promise of Predictable
Stu outlines the show’s dual mission: to deliver better information and to help listeners make money through informed predictions. He emphasizes that even non-investors can benefit from the insights, and that the show will include culture, sports, and entertainment.
“I was buying shares of Donald Trump to become president of the United States on that night at 9%, which was able to give me 11 times plus my money in that market.”
“The name of the show, you'll be seeing it on this channel, is Predictable. And that is because that's what the world should be. It should be a little bit more predictable.”
“When we do [prediction markets], we wind up with superior information. We know these things long before others do.”
Host
Guest
Stu
person
Michael Selig
person
CFTC
organization
Donald Trump
person
Glenn Beck
person
Joe Biden
person
Elizabeth Warren
person
AOC
person
Washington, D.C.
place
The Blaze
organization
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