The Big 3: TSM, BIDU & HON
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The Schwab Network's 'Big 3' segment dives into three high-conviction stock picks amid a market rallying at all-time highs. Jason Brown, stock market expert and author of *Five Year Millionaire*, argues that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is a structural winner in the AI supply chain, not just a chipmaker but the backbone enabling NVIDIA, Apple, and AMD. Its 40% year-over-year revenue growth and 58.3% net profit increase in 2025 underscore its dominance, with Brown recommending a bull call spread targeting 450–480. Baidu, despite a 4% revenue decline due to falling search ads, is positioned as a transition story—its AI segment now 43% of revenue—making it a compelling earnings play with a bull put spread offering three ways to profit. Finally, Honeywell, trading near the bottom of a multi-year channel, is framed as a low-risk, high-reward pullback play, with Brown betting on a rebound to 250 using a long call option with a 200-day moving average as a key support level. Rick Ducat’s technical analysis confirms key support/resistance zones, volume nodes, and momentum signals across all three charts. The episode reveals a strategic shift: instead of chasing momentum, the focus is on companies with durable moats, structural tailwinds, and technical setups that reward patience.
Taiwan Semiconductor's 58.3% net profit growth and 40% revenue surge are driven by AI-driven HPC demand, making it a structural backbone of the global chip supply chain.
Baidu’s AI revenue now accounts for 43% of its mix, signaling a successful pivot even as search ads decline—making it a high-conviction earnings play.
Honeywell is trading at the bottom of a multi-year channel with strong support at 208 and 200-day moving average, offering a low-risk, high-reward pullback opportunity.
Use bull call spreads on TSM with 370/460 strikes for defined risk and 10–50% potential returns depending on price action and time decay.
Structure Baidu trades as bull put spreads (110/120 puts) to profit from time decay, earnings stability, or modest price appreciation with a 20-point downside buffer.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Market Outlook: Cautiously Bullish at All-Time Highs
Jason Brown opens with a 'if you can't beat them, join them' mindset, noting eight of eleven S&P 500 sectors are rising. Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran conflict, the market is pricing in resolution, leading to a cautiously bullish stance at record highs.
Taiwan Semiconductor: The AI Supply Chain Backbone
“They're not just a chip company. They're literally the backbone of the global supply chain of AI.”
TSM Trade: Bull Call Spread for Defined Risk & High Upside
“If this thing can move 20 points and you got about 10 contracts, you can pretty much pick up about a 10% move on the cash that you put out there.”
Baidu: Transitioning from Search to AI Powerhouse
“AI is starting to potentially offset the drop in search engine optimization and ads, which I would want to see a company going into the future.”
Baidu Trade: Bull Put Spread for Earnings Play with Three Ways to Win
“You got three ways to be right. The stock can stay the same and just let the time run out. The stock can go up. You still keep that credit and the stock can even fall 20 points and you still keep that positive credit.”
“They're not just a chip company. They're literally the backbone of the global supply chain of AI.”
“You got three ways to be right. The stock can stay the same and just let the time run out. The stock can go up. You still keep that credit and the stock can even fall 20 points and you still keep that positive credit.”
“If this thing can move 20 points and you got about 10 contracts, you can pretty much pick up about a 10% move on the cash that you put out there.”
Host
Guests
jason brown
person
taiwan semiconductor
organization
baidu
organization
rick ducat
person
honeywell
organization
marley
person
nvidia
organization
s&p 500
other
apple
organization
amd
organization
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