The Big 3: NKE, CVS, CSCO
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The podcast dives into three high-profile stocks—Nike, CVS, and Cisco—using technical analysis and short-term trading strategies amid a market heavily focused on NVIDIA's upcoming earnings. Don Kaufman of TheoTrade argues that despite Nike's 70% drop from all-time highs, a potential bounce near $42 could trigger a bullish call spread with a June 18 expiration. For CVS, which recently failed to break the psychological $100 level, Kaufman takes a bearish stance, deploying a defined-risk put spread targeting a drop below $90. Cisco, up 27% in a month and 82.5% over the past year, is seen as a parabolic rally nearing a wall—Kaufman bets against it with a wide $10 put spread expiring August 21, betting on a sharp pullback despite the momentum. Rick Ducat’s technical breakdowns confirm these setups: Nike shows a potential base at $42–$45 with strong volume support, CVS reveals fading momentum and a broken bullish trend, and Cisco’s chart displays a classic bull pennant after a massive gap, now vulnerable to a reversal. The episode underscores that in a volatile, AI-driven market, even the strongest performers can be prime candidates for short-term reversals. The core insight? When a stock runs too far too fast—especially on speculative momentum—traders should not ignore the risk of a sharp correction. The most contrarian move isn’t always the most profitable; sometimes, the best trade is standing in front of the freight train and betting it will derail.
Nike’s 70% drop from all-time highs suggests a potential base near $42–$45, supported by heavy volume and a bullish call spread with a $2.50 width expiring June 18.
CVS failed to break $100—a key psychological level—signaling fading momentum; a bearish put spread with a $1.50 debit targets a drop below $90.
Cisco’s 82.5% 52-week gain and parabolic chart pattern suggest a high-risk reversal; a $10-wide put spread expiring August 21 offers defined risk on a potential pullback.
Volume profiles at $42–$45 (Nike), $94–$95.5 (CVS), and $116–$118.5 (Cisco) highlight key support/resistance zones for short-term trades.
RSI breaking below 70 and moving averages crossing bearishly are early warning signs of trend reversal, especially in overextended names like CVS and Cisco.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Market Context: NVIDIA Earnings on the Horizon
The episode opens with a market overview, emphasizing that current price activity is heavily influenced by expectations around NVIDIA's upcoming earnings, which are seen as critical for the broader tech sector and market direction.
Nike: Short-Term Bullish Play on a Potential Base
“I'm going to do a bullish call spread in here, just largely predicated on the idea. It looks like it found a home, a base of support in and around 42.”
CVS: Bearish Trade After Missing $100 Psychological Level
“When you fail to hit a major level like 100, the momentum seems to be fading. It's a major psychological shift in the underlying reversal.”
Cisco: Parabolic Rally Warrants a Bearish Put Spread
“I'm going to give myself the gift of duration on this one. This is almost like, if you will, an investment to the downside.”
Technical Confirmation and Closing Thoughts
Rick Ducat provides technical validation for each trade, confirming volume nodes, moving averages, RSI trends, and chart patterns like bull pennants. The episode concludes with a cautionary note on momentum-driven rallies.
“I'm going to give myself the gift of duration on this one. This is almost like, if you will, an investment to the downside.”
“When you fail to hit a major level like 100, the momentum seems to be fading. It's a major psychological shift in the underlying reversal.”
“I'm going to do a bullish call spread in here, just largely predicated on the idea. It looks like it found a home, a base of support in and around 42.”
Host
Guests
nike
organization
cisco
organization
cvs
organization
don kaufman
person
rick ducat
person
nvidia
organization
theotrade
organization
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