The Big 3: NFLX, LULU & INTC
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Intel’s explosive 200% year-to-date rally is now showing signs of exhaustion, with Don Kaufman warning that the stock is in the midst of a 'gamma squeeze' fueled by retail and institutional call buying. He argues this unsustainable momentum will likely reverse, citing extreme implied volatility over 100% and an inverted volatility skew—where calls are priced higher than puts—as definitive signs of a fade. Rather than chasing the rally, Kaufman is positioning a bearish put spread on Intel, betting on a pullback to the 100 level. Meanwhile, Netflix faces headwinds from seasonality, rising fuel costs, and subscription fatigue, prompting a bearish put spread targeting a retest of the 75 support. In contrast, Lululemon, trading near all-time lows and massively oversold, is the only bullish pick—a short-term, high-conviction bounce trade using a cheap call spread ahead of earnings. The episode reveals a rare convergence: three high-conviction trades, all short-term, all based on technical extremes and market psychology, not long-term fundamentals.
Intel’s 100%+ implied volatility and inverted skew signal a gamma squeeze nearing exhaustion—expect a fade in the next few weeks.
Use a $10-wide put spread (100/90) on Intel for defined risk and $7 upside, betting on a pullback from 111 to 100.
Netflix is vulnerable to a retest of 75 due to seasonality, high fuel prices, and weak content momentum—use a 85/75 put spread.
Lululemon’s massive oversold condition offers a high-probability short-term bounce—buy 140 calls, sell 145 calls for $1.20 debit.
RSI divergence in Intel (higher highs in price, lower highs in RSI) is a bearish warning sign ahead of a potential breakdown.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Big Three: Netflix, Lululemon, Intel
Rick Ducat introduces the episode with Don Kaufman, co-founder of TheoTrade, to discuss three high-conviction short-term trades: a bearish Netflix play, a bullish Lululemon bounce, and a fade on Intel’s gamma-driven rally.
Bearish Netflix: Revisiting 75 Support
“I'm going to go out to the july 17th expiration and I'm taking a little bit of time with this especially in options to go out to july 17th expiration is you know not necessarily the norm i'm doing that because again i want the trade to kind of evolve”
Bullish Lululemon: A Short-Term Bounce
“Lululemon, I'm actually going to put on a bullish trade, but it's a trade. This is not an investment. This is not necessarily long-term, you know, looking for upside in Lulu. This is in the here, in the now.”
Bearish Intel: Fade the Gamma Squeeze
“I do believe we're going to see in the next few weeks Intel fade. Nothing too crazy. But I'm going to stand in the way of an absolute freight train.”
“I do believe we're going to see in the next few weeks Intel fade. Nothing too crazy. But I'm going to stand in the way of an absolute freight train.”
“You realize in the near term, implied volatility is an excess of 100%. I mean, not too often you're going to see stocks that have 100% implied volatility that are mainstream like this.”
“-day EMA in dark blue, 102 .50 lining up with our trend line. So it could be worth watching for a potential breakdown area kind of lining up with the strike for that trade pretty closely as well.”
Host
Guest
Netflix
organization
Intel
organization
Don Kaufman
person
Lululemon
organization
Rick Ducat
person
TheoTrade
organization
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