Country Morning Presented by CHS Ag Services

Red River Farm Network13mMarch 31, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

This episode of the Red River Farm Network, presented by CHS Ag Services, delivers a comprehensive update on agricultural and economic conditions across the upper Midwest, with a strong focus on the global impact of the ongoing Iran conflict. The episode begins with a weather report highlighting cold temperatures, strong winds, and upcoming snowstorms, setting the stage for challenging growing conditions. The central theme revolves around how geopolitical instability—particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran tensions—is disrupting global supply chains, driving up energy prices, and significantly affecting agricultural inputs like fertilizer. Experts including Co-Bank’s Tom Halverson and CHS CEO Jay Deberton emphasize that while short-term price spikes may benefit U.S. farmers, long-term investment should not rely on volatile, non-cyclical events. The episode also covers rising fuel costs, trade tensions with China, Brazil’s growing dominance in global agriculture, and the potential reopening of the U.S.-Mexico border for feeder cattle imports amid ongoing efforts to contain the New World screwworm. Market data shows mixed commodity trends, with soybeans rising and corn and wheat fluctuating. Key takeaways include the urgent need for stable trade policy to maintain U.S. agricultural competitiveness, the structural risks posed by global supply chain vulnerabilities—especially in critical inputs like urea and helium—and the importance of preparing for long-term resilience over short-term gains. The episode underscores that agriculture is no longer isolated from global politics and economics, and farmers must adapt to a new reality where geopolitical events directly influence input costs, market access, and profitability. The tone is cautiously urgent, balancing concern with practical advice for navigating uncertainty.

Key Takeaways
1

Geopolitical instability, especially the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, is driving up fertilizer and fuel costs, directly impacting farm profitability.

2

Short-term price spikes from global disruptions are not reliable for long-term investment decisions—farmers should focus on sustainable, resilient business models.

3

Brazil’s massive expansion in agricultural production (100 million new acres since 2000) is reshaping global markets and increasing competition for U.S. exports.

4

Trade policy consistency is critical for U.S. agricultural competitiveness; inconsistent tariffs and international tensions undermine global market access.

5

The potential reopening of the U.S.-Mexico border for feeder cattle imports depends on strict animal health protocols and Mexico meeting USDA benchmarks.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
1 min

Introduction and Weather Update

Cole Zerman introduces the show and CHS Ag Services, followed by a weather report highlighting cold temperatures, strong northwest winds, and upcoming snowstorms across the region.

1:00
2 min

Geopolitical Tensions and Market Volatility

Mixed messages from President Donald Trump on the Iran conflict driving sharp volatility across the global market.

Highlight
3:00
3 min

Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Agriculture

Some of them are going to be long lasting and some of them are going to structurally change the business environment.

Highlight
6:00
3 min

Fertilizer Crisis and Input Costs

Now farmers, you have that for some of the crops might be going down, but now you have to think about in a way that's going to be the most profitable.

Highlight
9:00
3 min

Trade, Competition, and Market Outlook

They're bringing more acres into production. They are also growing in the productivity per acre.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
Some of them are going to be long lasting and some of them are going to structurally change the business environment.
Tom Halverson3:41
Viral: 85.0
You don't build up, I'm not going to invest a billion dollars in a processing plant on that as being a sustainable business model.
Tom Halverson4:16
Viral: 80.0
They're bringing more acres into production. They are also growing in the productivity per acre.
Jay Deberton9:25
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Hosts

Cole ZermanJamie DickermanTyler Donaldson

Guests

Tom HalversonJay DebertonBenga GilereJerome PowellBrooke RollinsBrian Ressler
Topics Discussed
Geopolitical Impact on Agriculture95%Fertilizer Supply Chain Disruptions90%Global Trade Policy and Competitiveness85%Energy Prices and Farm Costs80%Brazil's Agricultural Expansion75%U.S.-Mexico Cattle Import Reopening70%Market Volatility and Commodity Trends65%Supply Chain Vulnerabilities Beyond Agriculture60%
People & Brands

Iran Conflict

other

12xNegative

Strait of Hormuz

other

6xNegative

Tom Halverson

person

5xPositive

CHS Ag Services

organization

4xPositive

Brazil

place

4xPositive

Tyler Donaldson

person

4xNeutral

USDA

organization

4xNeutral

Jay Deberton

person

4xPositive

Red Legend Cattle

organization

3xPositive

Benga Gilere

person

3xNeutral

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