Country Morning Presented by CHS Ag Services
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This episode of the Red River Farm Network, presented by CHS Ag Services, delivers a comprehensive update on agricultural and economic conditions across the upper Midwest, with a strong focus on the global impact of the ongoing Iran conflict. The episode begins with a weather report highlighting cold temperatures, strong winds, and upcoming snowstorms, setting the stage for challenging growing conditions. The central theme revolves around how geopolitical instability—particularly the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran tensions—is disrupting global supply chains, driving up energy prices, and significantly affecting agricultural inputs like fertilizer. Experts including Co-Bank’s Tom Halverson and CHS CEO Jay Deberton emphasize that while short-term price spikes may benefit U.S. farmers, long-term investment should not rely on volatile, non-cyclical events. The episode also covers rising fuel costs, trade tensions with China, Brazil’s growing dominance in global agriculture, and the potential reopening of the U.S.-Mexico border for feeder cattle imports amid ongoing efforts to contain the New World screwworm. Market data shows mixed commodity trends, with soybeans rising and corn and wheat fluctuating. Key takeaways include the urgent need for stable trade policy to maintain U.S. agricultural competitiveness, the structural risks posed by global supply chain vulnerabilities—especially in critical inputs like urea and helium—and the importance of preparing for long-term resilience over short-term gains. The episode underscores that agriculture is no longer isolated from global politics and economics, and farmers must adapt to a new reality where geopolitical events directly influence input costs, market access, and profitability. The tone is cautiously urgent, balancing concern with practical advice for navigating uncertainty.
Geopolitical instability, especially the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, is driving up fertilizer and fuel costs, directly impacting farm profitability.
Short-term price spikes from global disruptions are not reliable for long-term investment decisions—farmers should focus on sustainable, resilient business models.
Brazil’s massive expansion in agricultural production (100 million new acres since 2000) is reshaping global markets and increasing competition for U.S. exports.
Trade policy consistency is critical for U.S. agricultural competitiveness; inconsistent tariffs and international tensions undermine global market access.
The potential reopening of the U.S.-Mexico border for feeder cattle imports depends on strict animal health protocols and Mexico meeting USDA benchmarks.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction and Weather Update
Cole Zerman introduces the show and CHS Ag Services, followed by a weather report highlighting cold temperatures, strong northwest winds, and upcoming snowstorms across the region.
Geopolitical Tensions and Market Volatility
“Mixed messages from President Donald Trump on the Iran conflict driving sharp volatility across the global market.”
Global Supply Chain Disruptions and Agriculture
“Some of them are going to be long lasting and some of them are going to structurally change the business environment.”
Fertilizer Crisis and Input Costs
“Now farmers, you have that for some of the crops might be going down, but now you have to think about in a way that's going to be the most profitable.”
Trade, Competition, and Market Outlook
“They're bringing more acres into production. They are also growing in the productivity per acre.”
“Some of them are going to be long lasting and some of them are going to structurally change the business environment.”
“You don't build up, I'm not going to invest a billion dollars in a processing plant on that as being a sustainable business model.”
“They're bringing more acres into production. They are also growing in the productivity per acre.”
Hosts
Guests
Iran Conflict
other
Strait of Hormuz
other
Tom Halverson
person
CHS Ag Services
organization
Brazil
place
Tyler Donaldson
person
USDA
organization
Jay Deberton
person
Red Legend Cattle
organization
Benga Gilere
person
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