Does Iran pose more or less of a threat now? Marles says that's for the US to answer

In this episode of Radio National Breakfast, Acting Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Miles discusses the evolving situation in the Middle East, focusing on the fragile two-week ceasefire and upcoming peace talks in Pakistan. Miles emphasizes the importance of the Strait of Hormuz remaining open to international shipping, noting that current disruptions are severely impacting the global fuel supply chain. While he acknowledges that the U.S. has publicly stated Iran's capability to develop a deployable nuclear weapon has been significantly degraded, he stresses that this assessment is ultimately for the U.S. to determine. Miles reaffirms Australia’s support for a rules-based international order, freedom of navigation under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, and the need for a permanent ceasefire to restore stability. He also addresses Australia’s potential role in regional security, dismissing concerns about frigate capabilities and highlighting ongoing coordination with the U.S., UK, and France, while underscoring Australia’s energy partnerships with East Asian nations like Singapore and Malaysia. The discussion touches on the humanitarian toll of Iran’s regime, the economic consequences of the conflict, and the strategic importance of fuel security for Australia. Miles maintains that Australia’s national interest lies in a stable, rules-based global order, even as the immediate situation remains uncertain. He avoids speculating on specific military contributions but affirms Australia’s readiness to play a constructive role if conditions allow. The episode concludes with a clear message: while progress has been made on Iran’s nuclear ambitions, the broader geopolitical and humanitarian challenges remain urgent and unresolved.