407: Newbury & Newmarket Preview | Horse Racing Tips | Racing Postcast | Unibet

Racing Post48mMay 14, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The Racing Postcast delivers a comprehensive preview of the upcoming Newbury and Newmarket racing cards, focusing on key Group 1 and listed races. The episode opens with a deep dive into the Aston Park Stakes at Newbury, where Cal Parna is the market favourite but faces strong competition from Arabian Force and Liberty Lane. The panel debates whether Cal Parna’s lack of a prep run makes her vulnerable, with Keith Melrose and Ed Nixon suggesting value in opposing her. The discussion shifts to the Chilbrickbury Stud Fillies’ Trial, where Golden Orbit and Allaire emerge as intriguing outsiders despite the dominance of the unbeaten Royal Rafe. The feature race, the Boyle Sports Lock-In Stakes, sparks intense debate over Damasus, the favourite, versus the desperate Lion in Winter, who may be primed for a breakthrough. Ed Nixon raises concerns about Charlie Appleby’s poor form and backs Damasus, while Keith and Liam highlight the potential of the pacemaker Mississippi River. Later races at Newbury and Newmarket are analyzed with a focus on value picks: Wise Approach in the Carnarvon Stakes, My Love Is King in the London Gold Cup, and Miraculous in the 327 at Newmarket. The episode concludes with the panel’s best bets, including Alair, Lion in Winter, Twisting Physics, and Miraculous.

Key Takeaways
1

Cal Parna is the favourite in the Aston Park Stakes but may be vulnerable due to lack of prep; Liberty Lane and West Wind Blows offer value.

2

In the Chilbrickbury Stud Fillies’ Trial, Golden Orbit and Allaire are strong value picks over the unbeaten Royal Rafe.

3

The Lock-In Stakes features a high-stakes battle between Damasus and the desperate Lion in Winter, with the pacemaker Mississippi River adding intrigue.

4

Wise Approach is a compelling value pick in the Carnarvon Stakes due to his strong form and low price despite stable concerns.

5

Miraculous, despite being a 9-2 favourite, is a strong contender in the 327 at Newmarket due to his career-low mark and strong Chester form.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Newbury Preview: Aston Park Stakes & Chilbrickbury Trial

I thought Liberty Lane here, it's definitely a day to get after Kalpana, although I like her generally, and his price just stood out.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Boyle Sports Lock-In Stakes: Damasus vs. Lion in Winter

I think this is the day where the Lion and Winter is desperate to get that group one into them.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Carnarvon Stakes & London Gold Cup: Value Picks at Newbury

The more likely winner here is Royal Fixation. Carl Burke from Ed Walker, good form in the book.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

Newmarket Handicaps: Twisting Physics & Silver Ghost

The panel previews lower-class handicaps at Newmarket, with Twisting Physics emerging as the standout pick for the 142. Ed Nixon backs him as the 'hat-trick' horse. In the 250, Ed Nixon makes a bold call for Silver Ghost, citing a weight reversal and strong form despite the favourite Golden Redemption.

40:00
10 min

Final Races & Best Bets

The episode concludes with previews of the 327 at Newmarket and final best bets. Ed Nixon backs Miraculous despite his 9-2 price, citing his course record and strong Chester form. Liam Head picks Alair, Keith Melrose picks Twisting Physics, and Ed Nixon picks Miraculous as his nap.

High-Impact Quotes
I think this is the day where the Lion and Winter is desperate to get that group one into them.
Keith Melrose14:56
Viral: 85.0
Charlie Appleby's form is absolutely incredibly bad.
Ed Nixon18:43
Viral: 85.0
He and his mother both held course records. How about that?
Ed Nixon44:27
Viral: 80.0
Speakers

Host

Sam Hart

Guests

Keith MelroseLiam HeadEd Nixon
Topics Discussed
Group One Racing90%Horse Racing Form Analysis85%Betting Strategy80%Trainer and Jockey Performance75%Pacemaker Tactics70%Stable Form Trends65%Race Course Conditions60%Horse Pedigree and Potential55%
People & Brands

Ed Nixon

person

25xPositive

Liam Head

person

22xPositive

Keith Melrose

person

20xPositive

Newbury

other

18xNeutral

Damasus

other

15xPositive

Unibet

brand

15xPositive

Newmarket

other

15xNeutral

Lion in Winter

other

12xPositive

Cal Parna

other

12xNeutral

Racing Post

brand

10xPositive

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