403: 2,000 Guineas Preview | Newmarket & Goodwood Tips from Graeme Rodway & Tom Segal | In The Know

Racing Post1h 12mMay 1, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this lively episode of Racing Post's 'In The Know', hosts Ross Briley and Tom Segal are joined by Graeme Rodway for a deep dive into the upcoming flat racing weekend, focusing on the 2,000 Guineas, Goodwood, and Newmarket fixtures. The panel discusses the wide-open nature of the 2,000 Guineas, with no clear standout horse, and debates contenders like Gustard, Boeco, and Distant Storm, while highlighting Avicenna as a potential dark horse at 16-1. At Goodwood, they analyze the Conqueror Philly Stakes, favoring Contiki as a top contender despite the strong field, and praise her pedigree and trainer. On Newmarket, they assess the Suffolk Stakes, with Erzidjan and LRB emerging as key long-shot picks. The episode is laced with humor, including a running joke about Rodway’s new haircut and a playful dig at the 'silly season' with Irish jumps racing overlapping the Guineas. The hosts also preview the 1,000 Guineas and offer a fun, high-energy betting panel with standout picks like Rumstar and Contiki. Key takeaways include: 1) The 2,000 Guineas is exceptionally open, making it ideal for value bets on horses with strong prep runs; 2) Contiki at Goodwood is a top contender due to her pedigree, trainer, and recent form; 3) Avicenna’s impressive trial run at Craven Day makes him a compelling 16-1 outsider; 4) Always consider horses with a clean run and strong sectional times, even if they didn’t win; 5) The market can be misleading—don’t ignore a horse just because it’s not favored. The overall tone is upbeat, energetic, and packed with insider insight, reflecting the excitement of the summer flat racing season.

Key Takeaways
1

The 2000 Guineas is exceptionally open with no clear favorite, making it ideal for value bets on horses with strong prep runs.

2

Contiki at Goodwood is a top contender due to her pedigree, trainer, and recent form, despite being priced at 8-1.

3

Avicenna (16-1) is a compelling dark horse after a promising trial run at Craven Day with strong sectional times.

4

Always consider horses with clean runs and strong final furlongs, even if they didn’t win their race.

5

The market can be misleading—don’t ignore a horse just because it’s not favored; look at prep form and trainer trends.

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Opening the Summer Racing Season

Ross Briley kicks off the episode with a sunny, energetic intro, setting the tone for a packed weekend of flat racing. He highlights the overlap between Irish jumps and British Classics, teasing the excitement of the 2,000 Guineas and Goodwood races. The hosts welcome viewers, tease the 'silly season' chaos, and introduce the panel with humor, including a joke about Rodway’s new haircut.

10:00
10 min

Goodwood: The Conqueror Philly Stakes Preview

I think she's just as good a bread filly as you're going to get. Jane Chapelheim is having a magnificent run of things at the moment, and Contiki would probably have been third or fourth in the coronation with any sort of luck.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Newmarket: The Suffolk Stakes & Handicap Insights

He's bred to be a sprinter but he finishes like a mile away. But again that run last year, he was behind Pelletori, Anna Domini, Treble Tee was in behind, you know, really, really good horses.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

The 2,000 Guineas: Open Field, No Clear Favorite

To me, he's got the perfect Guineas pedigree. He's got the perfect Guineas trainer. Yeah, I don't know. I just get looking at him and thinking, he's the most guineas horse in here.

Highlight
40:00
10 min

The Wacky Angle: Beckford's Folly & Draw Strategy

Ross Briley presents a 'wacky angle' for the Palace House Stakes, focusing on the historical advantage of horses drawn on the wing. He cites past winners and argues that clean runs without weaving make a difference. The panel debates the logic, with Rodway calling it a 'six' on a scale of one to ten—wacky but not ridiculous.

High-Impact Quotes
I think she's just as good a bread filly as you're going to get. Jane Chapelheim is having a magnificent run of things at the moment, and Contiki would probably have been third or fourth in the coronation with any sort of luck.
Tom Segal24:14
Viral: 85.0
To me, he's got the perfect Guineas pedigree. He's got the perfect Guineas trainer. Yeah, I don't know. I just get looking at him and thinking, he's the most guineas horse in here.
Ross Briley59:18
Viral: 82.0
He's bred to be a sprinter but he finishes like a mile away. But again that run last year, he was behind Pelletori, Anna Domini, Treble Tee was in behind, you know, really, really good horses.
Ross Briley32:02
Viral: 78.0
Speakers

Host

Ross Briley

Guests

Graeme RodwayTom Segal
Topics Discussed
2000 Guineas Preview95%Goodwood Racecard Analysis90%Newmarket Handicap Insights85%Dark Horse Selections80%Betting Strategy & Market Psychology75%Trainer & Jockey Form Trends70%Race Preparation & Trial Runs65%Silly Season & Racing Calendar Chaos60%
People & Brands

Graeme Rodway

person

15xPositive

Tom Segal

person

14xPositive

Ross Briley

person

12xPositive

Newmarket

other

12xPositive

Goodwood

other

10xPositive

Contiki

other

9xPositive

Rumstar

other

8xPositive

Gustard

other

8xNeutral

Distant Storm

other

7xPositive

Avicenna

other

7xPositive

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