Slow Starts, Don't Worry

On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast42mApril 28, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of 'Orioles on the Verge,' hosts Zach Spettin, Bob Phelan, and Nick Stephens discuss several Orioles minor league prospects who have started the season slowly but remain promising. They focus on pitchers Luis De Leon and Aaron Estrada, as well as hitters Jordan Sanchez and others, emphasizing that early-season struggles—especially in cold weather and small sample sizes—shouldn't trigger panic. The team highlights the importance of process over results, regression to the mean, and the value of patience with young players still developing. They also spotlight breakout performances from lesser-known players like Yiberg Cartaya, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, and R.J. Austin, while acknowledging the impact of offseason factors like missing winter ball for Venezuelan prospects. The episode ends with a preview of an upcoming exclusive interview with 2025 fifth-round pick Jaden Lohray and a call to support the podcast via Patreon and Substack. Key takeaways include: 1) Small sample sizes in early season don’t reflect long-term potential; 2) Process over results is crucial—especially for players adjusting to new roles or environments; 3) Cold weather and lack of winter ball experience can impact performance; 4) High exit velocity and strong swing decisions often signal future success even when numbers lag; 5) Players like Jordan Sanchez and Aaron Estrada are likely in a temporary adjustment phase; 6) The Orioles’ farm system is showing signs of depth and maturity; 7) Fans should trust the development timeline and avoid overreacting to early stats; 8) Supporting the podcast through Patreon unlocks exclusive content and early access to top 50 updates.

Key Takeaways
1

Early-season struggles in small samples don’t reflect long-term potential.

2

Process over results: players adjusting to new roles or environments may underperform temporarily.

3

Cold weather and lack of winter ball experience can impact performance, especially for international prospects.

4

High exit velocity and strong swing decisions often signal future success even when numbers lag.

5

Players like Jordan Sanchez and Aaron Estrada are likely in a temporary adjustment phase.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Introduction: Slow Starts, Don't Worry

The hosts introduce the episode's theme: analyzing Orioles minor league players with slow starts but strong underlying metrics and potential for rebound. They preview upcoming content, including an exclusive interview with 2025 draft pick Jaden Lohray.

2:00
3 min

Luis De Leon: Early Struggles, High Ceiling

He's still battling the control. That's always been kind of a noted weakness in his game. But, I mean, the walk rates ticked down each year the last couple of years.

Highlight
5:00
4 min

Jordan Sanchez: Power Over Average

He's still crushing the ball really hard when he hits it. Just got to get it in the air a little bit more, pull it in the air, and it's great.

Highlight
9:00
5 min

Aaron Estrada: Pressing Under Pressure

He's pressing right now and I think this day off today is going to help him hopefully reset and just try to get back to the process.

Highlight
14:00
6 min

Hidden Gems: Cartaya, Encarnacion-Strand, and More

The hosts spotlight under-the-radar performers: Yiberg Cartaya (strong bullpen numbers), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (hot start in Norfolk), and prospects Ben Cosme and Leandro Arias, who are showing signs of resurgence despite past struggles.

High-Impact Quotes
He's still crushing the ball really hard when he hits it. Just got to get it in the air a little bit more, pull it in the air, and it's great.
Nick Stephens14:45
Viral: 80.0
He's pressing right now and I think this day off today is going to help him hopefully reset and just try to get back to the process.
Zach Spettin23:01
Viral: 78.0
He's still battling the control. That's always been kind of a noted weakness in his game. But, I mean, the walk rates ticked down each year the last couple of years.
Bob Phelan7:21
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Hosts

Zach SpettinBob PhelanNick Stephens

Guest

Jaden Lohray
Topics Discussed
minor league player development90%small sample size analysis88%pitcher control and command85%hitter adjustment and process83%prospect evaluation and scouting80%impact of weather on performance75%player mental health and pressure72%winter ball and player preparation70%
People & Brands

Bob Phelan

person

22xPositive

Nick Stephens

person

20xPositive

Luis De Leon

person

18xPositive

Jordan Sanchez

person

16xPositive

Zach Spettin

person

15xNeutral

Aaron Estrada

person

14xPositive

Orioles on the Verge

media

12xPositive

Frederick

place

8xNeutral

Delmarva

place

7xNeutral

Yiberg Cartaya

person

6xPositive

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