Implementing a Hellscape Strategy for Taiwan

Net Assessment58mApril 9, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of Net Assessment, hosts Melanie Marlow, Chris Preble, and Zach Cooper dissect the strategic implications of a new report titled 'Hellscape Taiwan: A Porcupine Defense in the Drone Age' by Stacey Pettyjohn and Molly Campbell. The discussion centers on whether Taiwan’s current asymmetric defense strategy—leveraging layered drone and unmanned systems to create a costly 'hellscape' for any potential Chinese invasion—is sufficient, and whether the U.S. and its allies should do more to support this approach. The panel explores the challenges Taiwan faces in implementation, including political infighting, limited warfighting expertise, and the difficulty of scaling drone production. They contrast this with the current U.S. defense budget, which prioritizes large platforms over low-cost, high-volume unmanned systems, raising concerns about strategic misalignment. The hosts also reflect on the ongoing conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, drawing limited parallels to Taiwan due to differences in geography, stakes, and adversary behavior. A major theme is the U.S. reluctance to commit to high-risk operations like convoying ships through contested waters, even as it pushes Taiwan toward asymmetric resistance. The episode closes with a somber tone on the state of U.S. military leadership, with grievances over the firing of top generals and the politicization of foreign policy, while offering a rare moment of hope in the success of the Artemis 2 mission and the rescue of a U.S. colonel in Iran.

Key Takeaways
1

Taiwan’s 'porcupine' defense strategy using layered drone and unmanned systems is a promising but under-implemented approach to deter Chinese invasion.

2

The U.S. must rethink its defense spending to prioritize low-cost, high-volume unmanned systems over large, expensive platforms.

3

Taiwan’s ability to defend itself hinges not just on technology but on political will, training, and sustained investment in asymmetric warfare.

4

The U.S. is not prepared for high-risk operations like convoying ships through contested waters, even as it pushes allies toward such strategies.

5

The current administration’s foreign and defense policy is marked by unpredictability, undermining alliance trust and strategic coherence.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
5 min

Introducing the Hellscape Strategy for Taiwan

The idea that they propose is basically four different layers of drones and other types of short range systems.

Highlight
5:00
10 min

Why Taiwan Isn't Implementing the Strategy Yet

The hosts debate why Taiwan hasn't fully adopted the hellscape strategy despite its logical appeal, citing political infighting, lack of warfighting expertise, and the difficulty of scaling drone production.

15:00
15 min

The U.S. Defense Budget and Strategic Misalignment

If what you were looking for was an embrace of the denial strategy, it does not seem to be what is presented by the White House as their top lines in the president's budget.

Highlight
30:00
15 min

Lessons from Iran and the Strait of Hormuz

The hosts compare the Iran conflict to a potential Taiwan scenario, concluding that while geography offers some parallels, the strategic stakes and adversary behavior differ significantly.

45:00
15 min

The Risk of a Blockade and U.S. Readiness

Is it more likely that the US would convoy shipping to Taiwan than it is that it would convoy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz? And I think the answer is no.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
The only way that anyone can make sense of this is to say, well, it's a modest share of GDP relative to what we've spent. But in real dollar terms, if the president gets his way, we will be spending more on the U.S. military adjusted for inflation than we did during World War II.
Chris Preble47:19
Viral: 92.0
Is it more likely that the US would convoy shipping to Taiwan than it is that it would convoy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz? And I think the answer is no.
Zach Cooper44:04
Viral: 90.0
We don't need $1.5 trillion to defend the United States. We need two or two and a half trillion.
Chris Preble48:14
Viral: 88.0
Speakers

Hosts

Melanie MarlowChris PrebleZach Cooper
Topics Discussed
asymmetric defense strategy95%taiwan security92%drone warfare90%u.s. military leadership88%u.s. defense budget85%blockade strategy82%strait of hormuz conflict80%foreign policy credibility78%
People & Brands

taiwan

place

45xNeutral

united states

place

38xNegative

iran

place

22xNegative

chris preble

person

15xNegative

zach cooper

person

14xNeutral

melanie marlow

person

12xNeutral

strait of hormuz

other

11xNegative

donald trump

person

10xNegative

people's liberation army

organization

8xNegative

war on the rocks

organization

4xPositive

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