Malaysia Sets the Direction for Its Carbon Market
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Malaysia has launched a national carbon market policy to formalize its voluntary carbon trading framework, aiming to align with global standards like Article 6 of the Paris Agreement and Corsia for aviation. While the policy establishes a national registry and paves the way for exporting carbon credits—particularly to Singapore—it leaves critical questions unanswered: no clear timeline for a carbon tax (delayed to 2028), uncertain export volumes, unclear revenue-sharing mechanisms for Sabah and Sarawak, and insufficient legal enforceability. Dr. Peter Steck warns that without a binding climate law and meaningful carbon pricing—currently projected at just 15 ringgit per tonne, far below the 200 ringgit needed to drive industrial change—Malaysia risks stagnation in decarbonization. The absence of a carbon tax also means Malaysian exporters face no domestic incentive to reduce emissions, even as the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism siphons revenue away from the national treasury. The episode reveals a pattern of policy sequencing delays, with carbon markets, CCUS, and climate legislation introduced out of order, undermining coherence and investor confidence. The core challenge isn’t just technical—it’s political. Delaying carbon pricing under the guise of protecting energy affordability ignores the long-term economic and environmental costs.
Malaysia’s carbon tax is delayed until 2028, with projected prices as low as 15 ringgit per tonne—far below the 200 ringgit needed to drive industrial decarbonization.
Without a binding climate law, future governments can easily backtrack on emissions commitments, undermining long-term investor confidence.
Sabah and Sarawak are expected to be major sources of nature-based carbon credits, but revenue-sharing and governance frameworks remain undefined.
The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism costs Malaysia revenue without incentivizing domestic emission reductions, creating a fiscal loss.
Fuel subsidies continue to undermine carbon pricing by effectively subsidizing emissions, contradicting climate policy goals.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction to Malaysia's Carbon Market Policy
The episode opens with a brief on Malaysia's new national carbon market policy, building on the 2023 Bursa Carbon Exchange and setting the stage for international alignment and domestic regulation.
National Carbon Market Policy: Framework and Goals
Dr. Peter Steck explains how the new policy formalizes carbon credit tracking via a national registry and enables exports under Article 6 and Corsia, while acknowledging the lack of a clear timeline for carbon pricing.
International Alignment and Export Potential
The policy positions Malaysia to export carbon credits, particularly to Singapore under Article 6, but the exact structure and volume remain uncertain, raising concerns about premature export of low-cost credits.
Uncertainty in Carbon Pricing and Investment
Dr. Steck highlights that without a clear carbon price or timeline, industrial investors—especially in steel and energy—lack the certainty needed for multi-billion-dollar green technology investments.
Sabah and Sarawak: Governance and Revenue Challenges
The role of Sabah and Sarawak in carbon credit production is expected to be significant, but their autonomy over land and resources raises unresolved questions about revenue sharing and federal-state coordination.
“You need at least a price of about 200 ringgit per tonne to make a difference, to make people shift to different technologies in the iron industry.”
“We've been talking about this since budget 2022, budget 2023, the 12th Malaysia plan. For many years, we've been saying next year there will be a carbon price and we still haven't got it.”
“It's mainly a loss for the Malaysian treasury because instead of paying that carbon tax to the Malaysian treasury, we'll now go to the EU treasury.”
Hosts
Guest
Dr. Peter Steck
person
Bursa Carbon Exchange
organization
Singapore
place
EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism
organization
Corsia
organization
Asia School of Business
organization
CCUS bill
other
Paris Agreement
organization
Renato Lima de Oliveira
person
IDEAS
organization
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