Buffalo Sabres THIRD PAIR BATTLE heats up with Michael Kesselring finally playing
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The Locked On Sabres podcast breaks down the Sabres' 5-3 victory over the Rangers, focusing heavily on the ongoing battle for the third pairing in the lineup. Host Sneaky Joe evaluates Michael Kesselring's return after a month-long absence, praising his speed, physicality, and ability to make critical breakout plays—particularly a key first-period rush that helped relieve pressure in the defensive zone. He contrasts Kesselring favorably with other depth defensemen like Connor Timmons, Luke Shen, and Stanley, citing Timmons' turnovers and lack of elite skill, and expresses skepticism about pairing Stanley with Kesselring due to Stanley’s defensive lapses. Joe advocates for Kesselring to get consistent playing time down the stretch, especially in a potential pairing with Stanley, to test their chemistry and allow Kesselring to showcase his offensive upside. The episode also covers the Sabres’ poor second period, their strong third-period dominance, and standout performances from Ryan McLeod, Jason Zucker, and Zach Benson, who scored his career-high 12th goal. The discussion shifts to the upcoming matchup against the Blue Jackets, with a debate over whether to start Colton Ellis or Uka Pekka Lukanen in goal. Joe leans toward Ellis, citing his recent performance and the statistical disadvantage of back-to-back starts for goalies, even if Lukanen is technically better. He also urges fans to root for Montreal to beat Tampa in regulation to improve Buffalo’s division odds due to tiebreaker implications. The episode closes with a bet recommendation on Peyton Krebs to score an anytime goal at +480 odds.
Michael Kesselring shows strong potential as a top-six defenseman with elite speed and puck-handling, making him the best fit for the third pair.
The Sabres’ third pair rotation is complex, with Lindy Ruff avoiding same-handed pairings, but rotating players with the top four to maintain flexibility.
Colton Ellis is a better choice than Uka Pekka Lukanen for the Blue Jackets game due to rest and statistical evidence showing goalie decline on back-to-back nights.
Sabres should root for Montreal to win in regulation against Tampa to improve their division odds due to tiebreaker rules.
Zach Benson’s career-high 12th goal and strong net-front presence highlight his value, especially in high-leverage situations.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Sabres vs. Rangers Recap & Third Pair Battle
“The best possible third pair for this team in the playoffs is Stanley and Kesselring. It's huge. It's got a guy that can move two big shots.”
Michael Kesselring’s Return & Third Pair Evaluation
“He's got a great first step. Like he gets that first big stride and he's moving. That's what happens here.”
Connor Timmons & the Bottom Pairing Dilemma
Joe expresses disappointment in Connor Timmons’ performance, citing turnovers, poor puck management, and lack of elite physical or skating traits. He ranks Timmons below Luke Shen and argues he’s better suited as a depth defenseman.
Goaltender Decision: Lukanen vs. Ellis
“Statistically, it's worse. You know, maybe with some individuals, it would be the same or better. I don't actually know if Hellebuck's one of those individuals...”
Sabres’ Poor Second Period & Third-Period Surge
Joe critiques the Sabres’ 40-minute stretch of poor play in the second period, citing turnovers and defensive lapses that left Lukanen exposed. He praises the team’s mature, dominant third period, where they shut out the Rangers at five-on-five.
“I've got a 12% difference between a Montreal regulation win and a Tampa regulation win. So I don't think it's disputable. You should be rooting for Montreal tonight.”
“The best possible third pair for this team in the playoffs is Stanley and Kesselring. It's huge. It's got a guy that can move two big shots.”
“Statistically, it's worse. You know, maybe with some individuals, it would be the same or better. I don't actually know if Hellebuck's one of those individuals...”
Host
Michael Kesselring
person
Uka Pekka Lukanen
person
Colton Ellis
person
Connor Timmons
person
Lindy Ruff
person
Zach Benson
person
Blue Jackets
other
Jason Zucker
person
Ryan McLeod
person
Montreal Canadiens
other
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