IMPACT: Giants RESIST Trading Kayvon Thibodeaux as Fans Speculate Post-Lawrence Move
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The Locked On Giants podcast dissects the growing speculation around whether the New York Giants will trade outside linebacker Kayvon Thibodeau following the blockbuster trade of Dexter Lawrence to the Bengals. Host Patricia Trena argues that despite the allure of $14.75 million in cap space and an extra draft pick, the Giants are unlikely to move Thibodeau anytime soon. She outlines three key reasons: weak market demand (with teams reportedly offering only a Day 3 pick), the risk of acquiring a one-year rental since Thibodeau is on the final year of his contract and unlikely to sign an extension, and the strategic importance of preserving depth for defensive coordinator Denard Wilson. Trena highlights Thibodeau’s underrated run defense stats, noting he ranks 12th among 24 outside linebackers in tackles for loss and 7th among first-round picks in run tackle rate. She predicts Thibodeau could have a breakout season if healthy, especially with the potential for a three-man pass rush rotation including Brian Burns and Abdul Carter. The episode concludes with a strong endorsement of Thibodeau as a cornerstone of the Giants’ rebuild, barring a catastrophic season.
The Giants are unlikely to trade Kayvon Thibodeau due to weak market demand and the risk of a one-year rental.
Thibodeau’s run defense stats (10.7% tackle rate, 12th among 24 OLBs) show underrated value beyond pass rushing.
Denard Wilson likely wants to retain Thibodeau to maintain defensive continuity and depth.
A healthy Thibodeau could thrive in a three-man pass rush rotation with Brian Burns and Abdul Carter.
The Giants may pursue a compensatory pick if Thibodeau has a strong season, but only if they don’t re-sign other one-year signings.
The Dominoes Fall: Lawrence to Bengals, Thibodeau in the Crosshairs
The episode opens with the fallout from Dexter Lawrence's trade to Cincinnati, sparking fan speculation about whether Kayvon Thibodeau will be next. The host sets up the central question: is a trade likely?
Why the Market Won’t Support a Thibodeau Trade
Trena explains that the market for Thibodeau is weak—teams are only offering Day 3 picks, which the Giants won’t accept. She contrasts this with the Lawrence trade, which netted a top 10 pick, showing the Giants’ unwillingness to settle.
The One-Year Rental Problem
Thibodeau’s contract status makes him a risky acquisition for any team. Without a guaranteed extension, teams face the risk of losing him after one year, reducing their incentive to trade for him.
Thibodeau’s Hidden Strength: Run Defense
“Out of 24 outside linebackers with at least 2,000 run snaps from 2022 to 2025, Kayvon Thibodeau has 31 tackles for a loss — 12th most. Among first-round picks, he’s 7th in run tackle rate.”
The Future: Thibodeau as a Core Piece
“I think at the end of the day, Kayvon Thibodeau will be a giant all year long. I don't see them even trading him at the trade deadline unless the team is just so far in the toilet that they get desperate for picks.”
“Out of 24 outside linebackers with at least 2,000 run snaps from 2022 to 2025, Kayvon Thibodeau has 31 tackles for a loss — 12th most. Among first-round picks, he’s 7th in run tackle rate.”
“I think at the end of the day, Kayvon Thibodeau will be a giant all year long. I don't see them even trading him at the trade deadline unless the team is just so far in the toilet that they get desperate for picks.”
“When you trade for a player who's on the final year of his contract, you better hope that you can get that player signed. Otherwise it amounts to a one-year rental.”
Host
Kayvon Thibodeau
person
Dexter Lawrence
person
Denard Wilson
person
Locked On Podcast Network
organization
Cincinnati Bengals
other
Brian Burns
person
Abdul Carter
person
Aziz Ojolaru
person
John Harbaugh
person
Ian Rappaport
person
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