REVEALED: 9-Cat Rankings MISLEAD Most Fantasy Owners

Locked On Fantasy Basketball – Daily NBA Fantasy Basketball Podcast40mApril 23, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of the Locked On Fantasy Basketball Podcast, host Josh Lloyd delivers a passionate critique of the widely used nine-category (9-cat) total rankings in fantasy basketball, particularly those defaulting from platforms like Yahoo. He argues that these rankings—based on Z-scores and normalized distributions—are fundamentally flawed because NBA statistics don't follow a normal (bell-curve) distribution but instead exhibit a right-tailed skew, which distorts outlier evaluations. Players like Giannis Antetokounmpo, whose free-throw percentages are consistently poor, are unfairly penalized in these rankings, making them appear worse than they are. Lloyd introduces his own dynamic, unbiased ranking system—Durant—which uses per-game metrics, the Yo-Johnson transformation to normalize data, and weighted variance adjustments to better reflect real-world fantasy value, especially in head-to-head leagues. He highlights numerous players inflated by 9-cat totals—such as Jaylen Hoof, Julian Champagne, Kaysen Wallace, Colin Gillespie, Donovan Clingham, Mikael Bridges, and Kal-El Ware—whose high rankings mislead owners into overvaluing low-volume, inconsistent performers. The episode serves as a strong warning to fantasy managers: don’t trust default rankings without understanding their methodology, context, and limitations.

Key Takeaways
1

Default 9-cat total rankings on Yahoo are misleading because they use Z-scores based on normal distribution assumptions that don’t apply to NBA stats.

2

Per-game metrics (like Durant’s system) are more valuable than season-long totals, especially in head-to-head leagues where player availability and matchups matter.

3

High-variance stats like steals and blocks are overvalued in total rankings because they’re easy to find on waivers, making them less scarce and less valuable than total points or rebounds.

4

Context is critical: players like Colin Gillespie and Kal-El Ware were boosted by injury-driven playing time, not sustained elite performance.

5

Always question the source and methodology behind any ranking—especially when it’s presented as a universal truth without explanation.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
5 min

Introducing the 9-Cat Rankings Trap

The 9-cat total rankings are incredibly misleading. They're not telling you what will happen. They're not telling you what did happen. They're just wrong.

Highlight
5:00
10 min

The Flawed Math Behind Z-Scores and Normal Distributions

Giannis' free throw percentage was negative 4.62. That’s a one in 525,000 occurrence. But he’s done it for years. The math is broken.

Highlight
15:00
15 min

Introducing Durant: A Better Ranking System

Durant is per-game, not total. Because what matters isn’t what happened last season—it’s what will happen next.

Highlight
30:00
15 min

Case Studies: Players Overvalued by 9-Cat Totals

If you’re drafting Donovan Clingham in the second round because he’s ranked 21st, you’re not just wrong—you’re throwing money away.

Highlight
45:00
23 min

The Broader Implications: Why This Matters for Fantasy Managers

You’ve got to know what people are referencing when they talk rankings. Where are they coming from? What’s the methodology? Because if you don’t, you’re just guessing.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
Giannis' free throw percentage was negative 4.62. That’s a one in 525,000 occurrence. But he’s done it for years. The math is broken.
Josh Lloyd14:40
Viral: 90.0
If you’re drafting Donovan Clingham in the second round because he’s ranked 21st, you’re not just wrong—you’re throwing money away.
Josh Lloyd47:30
Viral: 88.0
The 9-cat total rankings are incredibly misleading. They're not telling you what will happen. They're not telling you what did happen. They're just wrong.
Josh Lloyd4:50
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Host

Josh Lloyd
Topics Discussed
Fantasy Basketball Rankings95%Per-Game vs Total Stats92%Z-Scores and Statistical Normalization90%Player Value and Scarcity88%Fantasy Draft Strategy87%Head-to-Head vs Rotisserie Leagues85%Data-Driven Fantasy Analysis83%Injury-Driven Performance80%
People & Brands

Durant

other

15xPositive

Josh Lloyd

person

12xPositive

Yahoo Fantasy Basketball

other

10xNegative

Giannis Antetokounmpo

person

7xNeutral

Z-Scores

other

6xNegative

Locked On Fantasy Basketball Podcast

media

5xPositive

Donovan Clingham

person

4xNegative

Jaylen Hoof

person

4xNegative

Mikael Bridges

person

3xNegative

Julian Champagne

person

3xNegative

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