SURGE: Will Tommy Rees ELEVATE Atlanta Falcons from MEDIOCRE to ELITE Play Calling?
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In this episode of Locked On Falcons, host Aaron Freeman dives into the expectations surrounding new offensive coordinator Tommy Reese and his potential impact on the Falcons' play calling. Freeman challenges the widespread belief that Reese represents a massive upgrade from previous coordinators, arguing instead that the Falcons are likely to get '18th best' play calling—average, not elite. He contrasts his own realistic view of the team's talent level (closer to 18th in the league) with the more optimistic perception of many fans who believe the Falcons are an 8th-tier team whose potential is being held back by poor play calling. This mismatch in expectations, Freeman argues, fuels fan frustration when the team performs at a median level. He outlines a realistic formula for success: combining 18th-best passing offense with an 8th-best defense and run game could get the Falcons to 9–10 wins and a playoff berth, but not a dominant season. Later, Freeman and guest Charles McDonald discuss the Falcons' Day 3 draft picks—linebackers Kendall Daniels and Harold Perkins—praising their developmental upside and potential roles on defense, especially in Jeff Ulbricht’s scheme. Both players are seen as high-upside, low-risk picks with paths to early contributions and long-term impact. Key takeaways include: 1) Expectations must align with realistic team talent levels to avoid disappointment; 2) A competent but not elite play caller can still lead to a playoff-caliber team when paired with strong defense and running game; 3) The Falcons’ success hinges on development, not just personnel upgrades; 4) Draft picks like Daniels and Perkins offer high upside with minimal risk; 5) Coaching staff execution on player development will be critical, especially on offense; 6) Fans should temper hype around new hires and focus on process over perception; 7) The Falcons’ ceiling is likely 10–11 wins, not 13+, unless major improvements occur across all phases; 8) The team’s identity will be shaped more by how players develop than by any single hire. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, grounded in realism rather than hype.
Expectations must match realistic team talent levels to avoid disappointment.
18th-best play calling is not a 'massive upgrade'—it's average, and that's enough for a playoff push when paired with elite defense and run game.
The Falcons’ ceiling is likely 10–11 wins, not 13+, unless multiple units improve significantly.
Draft picks like Kendall Daniels and Harold Perkins offer high upside with low risk and potential for early roles.
Coaching staff execution on player development will be the key differentiator, especially on offense.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
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Tommy Reese & Play Calling Expectations
“I think the formula for success is one that is achievable even if Tommy Reese is the 18th best play caller.”
The Talent vs. Coaching Expectation Gap
“To me, they have to get everything right just to get to nine or 10 wins. As opposed to I think a lot of people are like, oh, they can just get a lot of stuff wrong and they still should be able to win nine or 10 games.”
Realistic Path to the Playoffs
“I don't think that's a formula for the Falcons to do more than like win nine or 10 games, but like that's, you know...”
Draft Picks & Defensive Development
Freeman and Charles McDonald discuss the potential of Day 3 draft picks Kendall Daniels and Harold Perkins, emphasizing their developmental upside and roles in Jeff Ulbricht’s defense.
“To me, they have to get everything right just to get to nine or 10 wins. As opposed to I think a lot of people are like, oh, they can just get a lot of stuff wrong and they still should be able to win nine or 10 games.”
“I think the formula for success is one that is achievable even if Tommy Reese is the 18th best play caller.”
“It's like, I don't think most people thought Kirk Cousins was the 28th best quarterback in the NFL for most of that 2024 season.”
Host
Guest
Atlanta Falcons
other
Aaron Freeman
person
Charles McDonald
person
Tommy Reese
person
Kendall Daniels
person
Harold Perkins
person
Zach Robinson
person
Locked On Podcast Network
organization
Jeff Ulbricht
person
Kirk Cousins
person
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