Why should WA get so much of the GST?

Late Night Live - Separate stories podcast15mMarch 31, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

This episode of Late Night Live examines the controversial and costly GST distribution deal that heavily favors Western Australia, now projected to cost the Commonwealth $60 billion by 2029. The arrangement, initially negotiated by Scott Morrison in 2017 and extended by Anthony Albanese in 2024, guarantees WA no more than a quarter of its GST revenue goes to the federal government—despite the state contributing disproportionately due to iron ore royalties. The deal was born out of WA’s economic downturn during the 2014–2015 resources boom collapse, when its GST receipts plummeted under a complex allocation system. However, rising iron ore prices reversed the trend, inflating WA’s GST share and making the deal far more expensive than anticipated. The episode reveals how the system’s opacity—such as the 2025 reclassification of Coffs Harbour from outer to inner regional center, costing NSW $200 million—has fueled frustration among other states like NSW, Queensland, and Victoria. Despite widespread recognition of the flaws, political gridlock and competing state interests prevent reform. The Productivity Commission is currently reviewing the entire framework, offering a sliver of hope for change by year’s end.

Key Takeaways
1

Western Australia receives a $60 billion windfall by 2029 due to a GST deal that limits its federal revenue share to 25%.

2

The deal was originally intended as a temporary fix for WA’s post-boom budget crisis but has become a permanent, costly anomaly.

3

The GST allocation system is so complex and opaque that minor statistical reclassifications (e.g., Coffs Harbour) can cost states hundreds of millions.

4

Other states are frustrated but lack unified political will to challenge the system, as they compete rather than collaborate.

5

The Productivity Commission’s upcoming report may finally push for a fairer, more transparent system.

Chapters
0:00
2 min

The Origins of WA's GST Advantage

John Howard's 1998 promise to distribute GST revenue equitably across states set the stage for a system that later became distorted by Western Australia's iron ore boom.

2:00
3 min

Morrison's 2017 Deal and Its Unintended Consequences

By blowing out, what do you mean? Well, let's say the first four years of it were supposed to cost about $2.3, $2.4 billion. was closer to $12 billion to $14 billion.

Highlight
5:00
4 min

The Political Power Shift in Western Australia

The politics of it have changed so much. The power of the West Australian Liberal Party inside the Federal Liberal Party for years... has also disappeared.

Highlight
9:00
5 min

The Hidden Costs and Inequities of the System

Coffs Harbour didn't move, but a line defining of where it is in part of a statistical definitional area did change and it came at a cost of $200 million.

Highlight
14:00
2 min

Hope for Reform: The Productivity Commission Review

The upcoming Productivity Commission report offers the first real chance to overhaul the flawed GST system, though political inertia remains a major barrier.

High-Impact Quotes
By blowing out, what do you mean? Well, let's say the first four years of it were supposed to cost about $2.3, $2.4 billion. was closer to $12 billion to $14 billion.
Shane Wright4:33
Viral: 85.0
Coffs Harbour didn't move, but a line defining of where it is in part of a statistical definitional area did change and it came at a cost of $200 million.
Shane Wright11:40
Viral: 80.0
You can see the problems. You can see it has an impact on people, but the political system at a federal level doesn't want to change.
Shane Wright14:02
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Host

David Maher

Guest

Shane Wright
Topics Discussed
GST Distribution System95%Western Australia Economic Policy90%Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation85%Federal-State Financial Relations80%Political Influence in Budget Decisions75%Productivity Commission Review70%Regional Classification and Funding65%Iron Ore Royalties and Revenue60%
People & Brands

Western Australia

place

15xPositive

New South Wales

place

8xNegative

Scott Morrison

person

6xNeutral

Anthony Albanese

person

5xPositive

Queensland

place

5xNegative

Commonwealth Grants Commission

organization

4xNeutral

Productivity Commission

organization

4xPositive

Victoria

place

4xNeutral

Coffs Harbour

place

3xNeutral

Colin Barnett

person

2xNeutral

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